clskinsfan

The Ukie drops 6-8 inches in six hours west of town. So yes. If you are west of town look at the UKIE.

12Z Cobb data for MRB. Has a little under a half inch. 201214/1000Z 22 VRB01KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100 201214/1100Z 23 08004KT 37.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.159 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 0| 0|100 201214/1200Z 24 04003KT 34.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.205 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.38 58| 0| 42 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 201214/1300Z 25 VRB02KT 33.0F SNOW 9:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.215 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.59 84| 0| 16 201214/1400Z 26 VRB01KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.212 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.81 85| 0| 15 201214/1500Z 27 VRB02KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.241 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.05 88| 0| 12 201214/1600Z 28 30003KT 32.8F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.101 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.15 86| 0| 14 201214/1700Z 29 33003KT 32.8F SNOW 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.22 86| 0| 14 201214/1800Z 30 29004KT 35.0F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.24 31| 0| 69

That 72 hr map on the UKIE is classic. Nice 50/50. 1038 over the top, And a LP on the gulf coast. I would love to see an 84 map.

12Z CMC jumps on the warm train. No snow for anyone except way out in the WV mountains.

1.5 to 2 inches total precip throughout the area on the GFS. No lack of moisture for sure.

Pretty much locked in now that this will be my first 10+ inch storm since 2016. I had 9 inches from the March 2018 storm. And nothing else over 4 inches in the 4 year span. That is a crazy drought for out here.

Good timing on the GFS Deform sets up right at dark. Should help a little with temps as well for you guys to the east. It is an amazing run.

84-90 is an absolute crush job out here. Geez.

72 Snowing in Roanoke. 850 line at VA NC Border. This should be a nice run. 78 Snowing everywhere. 850 still down around RIC. 81. BOOM

Wrong thread.

GFS is a little stronger with tomorrow's wave. Should make for a better 50/50. Nice CAD down to GA again at 60

GFS is a little colder this run. Mid 30's at the surface during the heaviest stuff out this way. And it does actually show snow falling in the 81 corridor tomorrow.

If Ellinwood is bullish out here it is on. I am even expecting some mixing out here at this point. The problem is the HP location. The models are wanting to take it a little too far east. Either way I am not gonna complain. Those of us out west look to be in the perfect spot for this one.

I don't care when it initialized. I will take my 23 inches and run.

That follow up wave on the Gfs has some ice out this way for Sunday. Temps are pretty atrocious. But something to watch at least

Cobb data is out for the 0Z GFS run. It is surprisingly bad for east of 81 so I wont post it. If anyone want to look at it. go to this link and change MRB to your closest airport code. I am not trying to add negativity to this thread: https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kmrb

RGEM at 84 looks amazing as well. 1038 over the top and strengthening LP off the SC coast.

RGEM is roasting again. I would take a slushy inch and be ecstatic.

It is crazy how good it really is. I agree 100%

The Germans over engineer everything man.

13 inch mean? Really? This is just ridiculous.

GEM is a little bit faster than the GFS other than that they are very similar.

Lets just lock in the GFS right now and call it a day. Pretty much everyone would be happy.

Nah. I want everyone to score. But for us the east jog is a good thing. Extra deform for those of you to the NE. This is a crazy run.

Man. This is an epic beatdown for all of us for a December storm. Unreal.