clskinsfan

I dont know man. The models are saying 1.5 to 2.25 QPF with this one. That is enough for 20 inches with the right ratios.

Yes. 09 was definitely colder. But it appears this one is going to have plenty of juice to work with.

Much smaller.:)

Funny thing is the setup has screamed 20 incher for us for days. I mean the models locked onto a pattern that is just perfect our area. We may not hit 20 but we are gonna get hammered.

One of the maps in that NY City maps thread has it. I cant seem to find that thread though.

wrong thread

Still flurries Thursday morning. What a run.

75 the 81 Corridor is smoked. 84. Holy crap. What a beatdown for the western crew.

At 63 the 850 line is down at the NC VA border. Looks good so far.

CAD showing up nicely at 48.

https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=namm&site=kmrb

Cobb data from the NAM 18Z run is just silly. Gives MRB 4 inches of snow in one hour. 32 total.

ICON got a clue. Coming around. 1038 over the top. Starts as snow for everyone.

You are right. ICON still warm for tomorrow.

3K is snow in Winchester from 14z to 18z tomorrow.

NAM gives me 7 tomorrow and 23 on Wednesday. If that came true I would eat my shoe.

I will take my 30 inches and run. Just go ahead and bank the 84 Hour NAM right now.

We get absolutely destroyed. Cant wait for Cobb data

Heres mine: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations ranging from 1 to 2 inches in the valleys with 2 to 4 inches in the ridges above of 1000 feet. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 1 PM EST Monday. Rain will range to snow, mostly likely between 7 AM and 9 AM Monday morning. The heaviest snow is most likely late Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Visibility may be reduced below one mile at times in falling snow.

Agree. It is actually plenty wet. Almost 2 inches QPF.

The Euro is beautiful. We miss out on the ccb stuff out here. But it is just hours upon hours of snow. Great run.

UKIE has 850's below zero in the 81 corridor. Surface too warm though.

The Ukie drops 6-8 inches in six hours west of town. So yes. If you are west of town look at the UKIE.

12Z Cobb data for MRB. Has a little under a half inch. 201214/1000Z 22 VRB01KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100 201214/1100Z 23 08004KT 37.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.159 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 0| 0|100 201214/1200Z 24 04003KT 34.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.205 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.38 58| 0| 42 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 201214/1300Z 25 VRB02KT 33.0F SNOW 9:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.215 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.59 84| 0| 16 201214/1400Z 26 VRB01KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.212 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.81 85| 0| 15 201214/1500Z 27 VRB02KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.241 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.05 88| 0| 12 201214/1600Z 28 30003KT 32.8F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.101 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.15 86| 0| 14 201214/1700Z 29 33003KT 32.8F SNOW 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.22 86| 0| 14 201214/1800Z 30 29004KT 35.0F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.24 31| 0| 69