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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. 3k has the warm nose out my way around 750. The snow soundings for the 3 hours before we sleet are pretty money though.
  2. 3k is really jumpy with the surface low placement. It has about 1.5 QPF for the 81 corridor. So it did juice up a little bit.
  3. It has been an incredible drought for them out there. Looks like a great spot for this one though.
  4. I am going to pay attention to the dews tomorrow morning. The lower the better.
  5. Like I said in the other thread. Pretty consistent storm track on all of the models at 12z. Mouth of the bay, up the Delmarva. Looks decent for those of us out west. No matter how bad Phineas wants it to get for us. in all seriousness. With that track I would expect to see ice out this way after the initial thump. Need to maximize the first few hours.
  6. That is a pretty consistent track from the Euro, GFS and UK. And a thumping west of town for sure on all three.
  7. My brain is fried so I might be wrong. But I think WeatherUS has the hi rez Euro out already for 12Z. If it is the 12Z run the Euro will hold for west of town. So hard to see anything on that site.
  8. Yeah. You can see it in the 850 wind charts.
  9. UK tracks the low from the mouth of the bay to just south of Philly to due east off the coast of central Jersey. Wild man.
  10. UKIE is gonna be a nice hit west of town. Looks a lot like the GFS actually.
  11. UKIE at the mouth of the bay at 36. But 540 line well west.
  12. psu what is causing the western shift of the track? Is it a more wound up system?
  13. GEM is an ice bomb for the 81 corridor. Tracks the low over the mouth of the Potomac.
  14. The GFS stays all snow west of the Blue Ridge from roughly Luray north and west. It is too close for comfort. But we hug it until the Euro folds like a cheap suit.
  15. The GFS stopped the bleeding out this way. Lock it up right now.
  16. At this point everyone in here would take the RGEM and run.
  17. Fire up the panic room. Last night Mappy was talking about the real Phineas in the storm thread. Sounded interesting so I looked it up. Here is a pretty interesting short article on the guy if you want to read something non weather related. I had never heard of this story. So thanks for giving me something to take my mind off of the NAM. https://www.verywellmind.com/phineas-gage-2795244
  18. Brother you are in Philly. You get flakes when a bird farts.
  19. It is a unicorn. I have only ever seen one true ZR ice storm. And that was in Atlanta believe it or not.
  20. If this fails I will never feel the same about the Euro again. It had me at 20 inches last night.
  21. The NAM is concerning for sure. Even out here we are on the edge of disaster.
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