clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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47 with some mist out here. Been 47 degrees for about the past 10 hours. Hoping for enough to whiten ground overnight at least.
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GFS has nice timing on the frontal wave for Christmas day. Would be snow TV for those of us to the west. Festive weather for sure. CMC has it too. Hi Rez Euro is coming around to it as well. A couple of hours of light snow on this run for the Winchester area.
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The GFS actually has decent timing with the little wave on Christmas morning as well. Snow TV for a lot of us.
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I dont get the complaints. The GFS has a really nice storm for early January. And it has been keying on that time frame for days. The pattern is fine. Maybe not a blockbuster pattern with the PAC being modelled the way it is. But it is a good upcoming pattern for some snow.
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Miller B train. Although the GFS does like the early Jan period. One of those shortwaves has to hit over the next couple of weeks. I cant see us getting shutout going into our prime climo with that much blocking. Maybe just some small overrun events. But no way we are shut out with that pattern.
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I mean he is just pointing out that the setup is perfect for a big storm. Trying to nail down the day it happens from 10 days out is laughable.
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Agreed. The GFS is not handling the upcoming block very well. A little stronger HP up top and that is a KY to SC jumper and we get smashed.
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Its all about the number of chances brother. Give us an active pattern and we all will score at some point. Maybe not all at the same time though.
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GFS still pretty nice for the Shenandoah Valley with the monster frontal passage. And really active through most of the run. Fun 2 weeks coming up.
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Some flakes down around CHO that might make it to DC. 29/27
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NAM is pretty close for you DC folks on Monday. Tuesday clipper brings some flurries in the Winchester area.
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GFS caved to the Euro for Christmas. Slower overall. 1047 HP over Greenland late in the run.
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Snowpack holding on well. About 6 inches left. My son came out from DC today to Winchester. He is a Navy guy based in DC. He said it was amazing watching the depth of snow change on the drive. As soon as he got past Mount Weather to the bottom of the mountain the snowpack doubled in size. 32 and cloudy with a 20% chance of snow showers tonight. So nice to have a real winter finally after last years debacle.
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Would need the timing of the wave to happen just as depicted though. Regardless. I would take an inch of wind driven snow on Christmas eve.
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This 153 panel is really nice for the Shenandoah Valley:
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I think at the very least we see some snow showers from that little clipper in Tuesday as well. Very active pattern coming up. GFS has more energy on the front this run as well.
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The Kicker has a legit chance to work out. Temps are fine. Will it be juicy enough? There is a little clipper to watch after that as well.
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Mini pummeled.
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In fairness. They were forced to change since Flash is being phased out. It appears they shot for a big change instead of a lateral one. Real light snow going on out here now. I hope it comes east for you guys.
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I am dusted now. The models had this little event on them yesterday. But didnt think it would happen. How good have the models gotten? Amazing they can sniff out these little things. Edit: By the way. Is there anything better than snow on snow when it comes to weather?
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You will get yours this year. The pattern looks at least decent. The last 2 years you really had no chance.
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We had one in 2016. 40 inches is ridiculous. And As much as I love snow I am actually glad that I will most likely never see that again in my life.
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Really enjoyed having to shovel this morning. Best driveway walls I have had since 2016. Meanwhile check out this from Upstate NY. Holy crush job!
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Dec 16-17 Storm OBS Thread
clskinsfan replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Congrats up there ya'll. What a beatdown.
