clskinsfan

Pfizer. It's not awful. Just chills, aches and joint soreness. Almost feels like a bad hangover without the fun last night

Second covid shot is no joke. Feel completely wiped out today. Bring on the snow!

Get a load of the CMC. Amplifies the following wace and Snows through Saturday to the east. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

The GFS is obviously jumpy with precip type. But it is in line for total QPF with the rest of guidance:

0Z Nam Cobb date: DCA: 210218/1200Z 36 05007KT 26.5F SNOW 7:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054 7:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210218/1300Z 37 05009KT 26.3F SNOW 7:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.113 7:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 100| 0| 0 210218/1400Z 38 04010KT 27.4F SNPL 1:1| 0.1|| 0.15|| 0.00|| 0.089 5:1| 1.3|| 0.15|| 0.00|| 0.26 16| 84| 0 210218/1500Z 39 06010KT 27.9F SNPL 3:1| 0.1|| 0.04|| 0.00|| 0.045 5:1| 1.4|| 0.19|| 0.00|| 0.30 54| 46| 0 210218/1600Z 40 06007KT 27.2F SNPL 1:1| 0.2|| 0.33|| 0.00|| 0.194 3:1| 1.6|| 0.52|| 0.00|| 0.49 16| 84| 0 210218/1700Z 41 02007KT 28.3F ZRPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.21|| 0.07|| 0.171 3:1| 1.6|| 0.73|| 0.07|| 0.67 0| 63| 37 210218/1800Z 42 36006KT 27.8F SNOW 7:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.212 4:1| 3.1|| 0.73|| 0.07|| 0.88 100| 0| 0 IAD: 210218/1100Z 35 06005KT 26.0F SNOW 15:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.084 15:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.08 100| 0| 0 210218/1200Z 36 05007KT 25.8F SNOW 12:1| 1.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.148 13:1| 3.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.23 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210218/1300Z 37 05008KT 25.6F SNOW 8:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.114 11:1| 3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.35 100| 0| 0 210218/1400Z 38 05009KT 25.4F SNPL 2:1| 0.3|| 0.12|| 0.00|| 0.111 9:1| 4.2|| 0.12|| 0.00|| 0.46 45| 55| 0 210218/1500Z 39 06008KT 26.3F SNPL 6:1| 0.4|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.067 9:1| 4.6|| 0.15|| 0.00|| 0.52 77| 23| 0 210218/1600Z 40 05005KT 26.0F SNOW 8:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.174 9:1| 6.0|| 0.15|| 0.00|| 0.70 100| 0| 0 210218/1700Z 41 36006KT 26.1F SNPL 9:1| 1.6|| 0.07|| 0.00|| 0.175 9:1| 7.6|| 0.22|| 0.00|| 0.87 80| 20| 0 210218/1800Z 42 36005KT 26.1F SNOW 5:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.201 8:1| 8.6|| 0.22|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0 BWI: 210218/1200Z 36 05007KT 26.1F SNOW 12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086 12:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210218/1300Z 37 05009KT 26.0F SNOW 8:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.111 10:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.20 100| 0| 0 210218/1400Z 38 05009KT 25.8F SNPL 8:1| 1.0|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.121 9:1| 2.9|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.32 86| 14| 0 210218/1500Z 39 06010KT 27.4F PL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.18|| 0.00|| 0.090 9:1| 2.9|| 0.21|| 0.00|| 0.41 8| 92| 0 210218/1600Z 40 06007KT 26.9F SNOW 9:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.154 9:1| 4.3|| 0.21|| 0.00|| 0.56 100| 0| 0 210218/1700Z 41 05006KT 27.4F SNPL 1:1| 0.1|| 0.30|| 0.00|| 0.172 7:1| 4.5|| 0.51|| 0.00|| 0.73 14| 86| 0 210218/1800Z 42 02008KT 27.6F SNPL 10:1| 1.6|| 0.06|| 0.00|| 0.163 7:1| 6.0|| 0.57|| 0.00|| 0.90 80| 20| 0 MRB: 210218/1000Z 34 08006KT 24.9F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 210218/1100Z 35 08006KT 24.9F SNOW 11:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.083 11:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 210218/1200Z 36 07008KT 24.5F SNOW 10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.096 11:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210218/1300Z 37 08008KT 24.2F SNOW 13:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.099 11:1| 3.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.29 100| 0| 0 210218/1400Z 38 07008KT 24.2F SNOW 14:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.228 13:1| 6.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 210218/1500Z 39 06008KT 24.0F SNOW 14:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.088 13:1| 7.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.60 100| 0| 0 210218/1600Z 40 08006KT 24.0F SNOW 10:1| 1.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.178 12:1| 9.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78 100| 0| 0 210218/1700Z 41 11004KT 24.3F SNOW 7:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.185 11:1| 10.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.96 100| 0| 0 210218/1800Z 42 10006KT 25.1F SNPL 9:1| 2.0|| 0.11|| 0.00|| 0.228 11:1| 12.7|| 0.11|| 0.00|| 1.19 75| 25| 0 WOO: 210218/0900Z 33 11004KT 23.6F SNOW 15:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 15:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 210218/1000Z 34 08003KT 23.8F SNOW 12:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.126 12:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.14 100| 0| 0 210218/1100Z 35 06004KT 23.6F SNOW 14:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.190 13:1| 4.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.33 100| 0| 0 210218/1200Z 36 06006KT 23.1F SNOW 14:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.175 14:1| 6.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.50 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210218/1300Z 37 07005KT 22.5F SNOW 11:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.172 13:1| 8.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.67 100| 0| 0 210218/1400Z 38 06006KT 22.0F SNOW 12:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.114 13:1| 10.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.79 100| 0| 0 210218/1500Z 39 06005KT 21.6F SNOW 9:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.124 12:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.91 100| 0| 0 210218/1600Z 40 05003KT 21.8F SNOW 11:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.147 12:1| 12.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.06 100| 0| 0 210218/1700Z 41 04005KT 21.5F SNPL 6:1| 1.2|| 0.18|| 0.00|| 0.204 11:1| 14.0|| 0.18|| 0.00|| 1.26 55| 45| 0 210218/1800Z 42 09004KT 21.8F SNPL 3:1| 1.0|| 0.31|| 0.00|| 0.330 9:1| 15.0|| 0.49|| 0.00|| 1.59 53| 47| 0

Somebody needs to suppress your posts.

Verbatim we get 6 hours of snow, 9 hours of sleet and 3 more hours of snow.

RGEM is a sleet bomb. Still very possible IMO.

Loop this one. The back side is pretty sick on the WRF: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwarw&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2021021700&fh=29&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=

NAM's are about the only 8 hour event now on the models. Everything else has wrap around snows now.

ICON is nice. Pummels DC. Has the wrap around snows as well.

WRF is kind of similar to the NAM with almost all front end quick thump. Is that model based on the NAM at all?

WRF is pretty cold. Snow down to RIC to start.

No Swiss cheese here brother. More like Ricotta falling from the sky

Through 45 with still tons of precip to the west. Dont know if any of it will make to us though.

3K is a thing of beauty out this way. Seriously thumped.

Over to sleet here at 42. But Leesburg is hanging on it looks like.

Man. I dont know what the precip type is at 39 on this crappy map. But the NAM is wet as hell. Holy Winchester crush job at 39 man!

NAM starts as snow just north of RIC at hour 35ish. 36 Beatdown incoming.

Yeah. Its a really prolonged event on the HRRR. Definitely sticking to the distinct 2 wave idea. Similar to what the Para was portraying.

HRRR Precip with first batch of moisture. Second batch is lining me up after 39:

HRRR is sweet man. DC goes over to sleet after 4 hours of heavy snow. Everyone else north and west of there is still all snow at 37.

0z HRRR gets snow close to Hagerstown tomorrow evening with the snow finger.

Was gonna say the same thing. Leaves room for movement either up or down. Where DT fails is he goes all in with big numbers and when that doesnt happen he loses once again. Nice map here though IMO.

Who said anything about this being a KU event?