JB says a blend of his analogs gives DC 27-36 inches this upcoming winter...."Given my belief the Strong Modoki El Nino for winter has 57-58,65-66,03-03,09-10" as analogs. (WB blog).
I will be thrilled with anything close to half of that amount.
WB 0Z ensembles indicating that our wet week in the upcoming work week is just another mirage. 0Z EPS compared to four runs ago shows the potential dissipating.