Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 6Z GEFS. The probability maps say no strong signal for a storm the next 2 weeks. It is still too early to be analyzing every run…. The press of colder air is hopefully just delayed and not denied…but not cold enough the next 2 weeks.
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In his WB blog earlier last week, JB stated he has concerns for “severe cold” around mid month. He also said in one of his videos that he did not want to lose viewers by stating how the pattern will evolve in January….(the implication was torch in January.)
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WB 12Z GEFS teleconnections. Look pretty good to me. One thing about the PNA, though negative it is not at record low -4 standard deviation to overwhelm everything else like last December…
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WB 12Z Ensembles: first period to watch is the Dec. 5-6 period. Happy and peaceful Thanksgiving to all!
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Beautiful day to put up outdoor Christmas decorations….upper 50s and light winds.
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We both know that the model with the least cold and snow usually wins out around here, but there is cold air lurking in Canada this year so at least we are in the ball game….
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I would remind everyone that it was the EURO/EPS that had a coastal storm for this Friday that fizzled out.
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Happy to see the optimism. Be Thankful… I predict we will know if it will snow in December by January 1, 2023.
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WB EPS Control from 11/21.
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Probably not east of the mountains. My point is that the models are all over the place outside a few days. Hopefully it will be a December to remember!!!
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I love cold weather around Thanksgiving….excuse to eat more! Plus it can’t hurt to chill water temperatures for our hopes for December Nor’easter! Long range models are volatile for December, but not showing wall to wall torch… too much negativity in here. It is cold for any day of the winter today…sunny in mid 30s with teen windchills…come on…
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WB 12Z EPS v. 6Z EPS for Friday. Love the active pattern with cold air around…. So much better than last year…
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Well at least there is some cold air around as we head into December. Felt like it did not go below freezing until after the New Year last winter…with a little luck the pattern will give many of us some snow by the end of the year. Could not say that in mid November last year looking into December.
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Everyone keeps saying what if this were 3 weeks later, climo, are we alluding to water temps? Or what? We have snow cover to our north to help support our source regions….water temps are above normal. WB maps
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WB 0Z EPS….lots of misses but a few big hits in the Day 8-10 period. At least Thanksgiving period is not a torch….
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WB 6Z GFS is bullish for Tues….it’s first fail or coup for the season….
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I alway consider November 11 the period where we can start watching for snow….took 4 hours to travel from University of MD College Park to Greenbelt that day when surprise snowstorm hit….cars were abandoned all along my route home….thunder snow fell fast and furious. One of the most memorable storms of my life so far…
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TS Nicole Impact Thread for Friday into Saturday
Weather Will replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 0Z 3K NAM -
TS Nicole Impact Thread for Friday into Saturday
Weather Will replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
18Z WB 3K NAM did shift heavier rain bands east of mountain. -
TS Nicole Impact Thread for Friday into Saturday
Weather Will replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
18Z EURO. -
I don’t think there been beneficial rain in my neck of the woods for weeks.
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WB 6Z GFS, hope this verifies we need the rain…
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WB 18Z GFS, shift west this run with heavy rains throughout DMV late week.
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WB 0Z ensemble runs in good agreement for rain event coming in later Friday.
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Late week much needed rain event potential from coastal low. WB 0Z EURO and GFS.
