Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 12Z GEFS, another drought denting storm next weekend/ Monday as well. No cold enough air to support snow except maybe in the highest elevations at this time.
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WB 12Z GFS: snow 1am to 4 am. Cleared out before 6am. Surface temps in mid 30s.
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12Z NAMs: enjoy the much needed rain.
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Enjoying a beautiful rainy day....can't control the weather no matter how many model runs I look at. Take what we can get...Can't wait for my afternoon nap!
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One of the reasons the colder look has disappeared as we head into January is the MJO is now forecast to go into the null phase rather than do the loop through 7. Hopefully that will be wrong.
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Looking at the WB OZ EPS teleconnections the PNA is favorable but none of the other indices are showing a colder look. Hopefully the strat. warm everyone keeps talking about or the MJO will shake this up.. edit: EPO is negative around the 17th, but without NAO help would flavor an inland track for the next storm. At least we are getting much needed rain..
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I am posting realistic maps. Let's be real, at best we potentially have a couple of hours of snow trying to stick on soggy ground when it is above freezing...
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WB 3K NAM 4 inch liquid totals DC metro East...Mon. Am rush hour will be a mess. Good day to telework...
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WB 0Z 3K NAM
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Does anyone know which model forecasts MJO the best? They are all over the place.
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WB 18Z GEFS looks better than EURO...
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WB 18Z EURO, if I see two inches I will be thrilled.
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WB 12Z 3K NAM....big story is the widespread beneficial rain....I hope the snow works out!!!! Would love to see it.
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WB 3K NAM with surfaces temperatures either near or above freezing the depth map would be much more realistic. I would be thrilled with an inch or two....
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816 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, including the following , District of Columbia, Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Fairfax, Southern Fauquier and Stafford. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Two to three inches of rain are expected Sunday through late Sunday night with the heaviest rains falling during the afternoon and evening. This amount of rain could cause flooding of small streams, creeks and urban areas. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information
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Nice drought denting storm....and a little breezy....WB 6Z EURO.
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WB 6Z EURO snow depth map, I hope my dusting verifies!
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If there is a blizzard in NC for Christmas, I will be happy for them ....WB 6Z GFS in Fantasy range is cooking up something ....
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WB latest 6Z GEFS still showing a nice look as we head into Christmas weekend....
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WB 6Z GFS, drought denting rain event for Sunday still on tap.
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WB 18Z GEFS, still learning to read these 500mb maps but it it is great to see a trough rather than a SE ridge off the east coast and no deep trough over CA. Much better look than last year.
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Feels different this year, hopefully it will pan out, a little luck may go a long way or perhaps wearing your pjs inside out if you know what they are
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WB 18Z GEFS run best I have seen in a long time thru day 11. I know everyone gets annoyed with snow maps but to see big hits to the south is great....
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WB,12Z EPS. Still in the game for Monday!
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You should take your own advice, be positive. Happy Hump Day!
