January is not delivering as promised but there are signs of a more active jet stream by the last week of the month. Whether the storm track is white or wet TBD. One cautionary note: the pattern keeps looking good two weeks out. Need to see if it holds this time around.
People can keep their heads in the sand but the GEFS and EPS ensembles were never showing much for late week. Ignore them at your own risk. I learned this the hard way too....