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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    Very confusing reading this thread. Seems like we may now may have the potential for two small bursts of snow. A Friday am snow burst from 2-5am and perhaps another snow burst Saturday early am. If you happen to be under both bursts, and temps cooperate. you may end up with 4 or so inches. Then again, you may end up with fizzle or a dusting. GOOD LUCK!
  2. Weather Will
    Thanks.
  3. Weather Will
    Are the models already completely accounting for the low blowing up off of the coast on Saturday in terms of where the next low will track? I guess what I am asking is what factors can shift the low to track another 50 miles south from West to east (arctic high pressing more, slightly stronger Sat coastal low?)
  4. Weather Will
    I posted in the wrong thread. Agree there are slight improvements. My nonexpert comparison of 0z v. 12z EURO using 6z Monday as a reference point. Slight improvements. The low is centered over PAX River rather than SE PA. There is a heavier snow band across NW MD-thru North Central MD. If there is another 30-50 mile shift SE over the next day there will be a lot of happy people.
  5. Weather Will
    My nonexpert comparison of 0z v. 12z EURO using 6z Monday as a reference point. Slight improvements. The low is centered over PAX River rather than SE PA. There is a heavier snow band across NW MD-thru North Central MD. If there is another 30-50 mile shift SE over the next day there will be a lot of happy people.
  6. Weather Will
    Looks like about .2-.3 inch of liquid in Northern areas. Only about .1 around DC. There is also a JI slot, I mean dry slot in NW VA....:)
  7. Weather Will
    Winter Weather Advisory area wide from 10pm-10am. 1-3 in DC- nearby suburbs; 2-4 north.
  8. Weather Will
    Agree NAM looks good! Hopefully the 2 inch appetizer before the main course Sunday night....but that is for another thread.
  9. Weather Will
    Inside 5 days: check; decent amount of moisture: check; exact track: no consistency yet. Stay tuned!!! Seems like no one should start really getting excited before 0z Saturday operational runs. It will avoid a lot of emotional ups and downs over the next two days. Remember the models have been awful outside 48 hours.
  10. Weather Will
    3K noticeable shift North in accumulations. Nothing for DC South. Only snows from about 3-7.am. (Rain changing to snow 1-3 am.) 2 inches within 30 miles or so either side of 70 from WV line to North of Baltimore.
  11. Weather Will
    12k is slightly warmer DC South. Banding appears more NW of DC this run. .3 to .4 total precip. rather than up to .7.
  12. Weather Will
    Yes.
  13. Weather Will
    Setting aside my Weather Bible for the moment, EPS low locations don't look bad for Sunday/Monday. Biggest clusters between NGA and WTN. Sunday. By Monday early am there is a large cluster near SE VA and another further out to sea. On the other hand, only a few members showing a snowy hit NW of DC.
  14. Weather Will
    I watched JB's video on WB today. he talks about warmer Atlantic waters and that the low should hug the coast. He does seem to be giving up on 95 corridor.
  15. Weather Will
    Bill Chapter 3, Verse 4.
  16. Weather Will
    No one but God knows what is going to happen. Thinking about it, if the models were reliable, this wouldn't be much of a hobby. You could just say look at the EURO, etc. So go old school and create your own map for Monday. It is just as good as any of these computer generated models.
  17. Weather Will
    We forget that normal highs are approaching 50 degrees my weather friends....we are still in the game.
  18. Weather Will
    Not wish casting but definitely still in the game: fact very cold air pressing in from the West on Sunday/Monday. If the timing of the low slows down 6-12 hours or if the cold air presses more than currently modeled we are going to see wintry precip. in the area. Fun to have things to track in late February/early March! Wasn't it yesterday that everything was being suppressed? Now we just need a 50-100 shift in 4 days?
  19. Weather Will
    We can hope the EURO is wrong again with this one! Let's see what it says 12z Friday. Outside of 48 hours none of the models know what is going on in this fast flow pattern.
  20. Weather Will
    EURO caving to the NAM...I'll be damned....and so will a lot of EURO hugging forecasters. EURO ain't what it used to be.
  21. Weather Will
    Weatherbell 3KNAM shows snow moving in between 11-midnight. Over between 4-5am. 850s south of DC during the entire event but heaviest band of snow through NVA and North Central MD. 3-5 inches verbatim. I would take it in a minute if it verifies. It has been really consistent---right or wrong.
  22. Weather Will
    Sorry I thought you could post non EURO maps from Weather Bell, but it appears not on second read.
  23. Weather Will
    Not all of this is snow DC south.
  24. Weather Will
    Agree that Friday and midweek have a least temporarily gone poof. Still seems to be a signal for a light to moderate event for Monday. My nonexpert eye would say about 20-25% of the members show 4 or more inches from DC N and W.
  25. Weather Will
    Bob is right....we are in the game for one more....just keep one eye on it until later this week....again easier said then done. I have moved from Greenbelt, to Bowie, to Ellicott City, and now to Brunswick. I moved for the family, not because of snow, but getting more snow is one of the fringe benefits of a long commute.
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