Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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850s fall below freezing after 1am Monday with surface temps still above freezing
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There is some sleet mixed in…
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WB OZ GFS
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Like my Catholic Church at Christmas… where is everyone the rest of the year?
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Agreed. WB 18z v 0Z
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Heavy rain shower 56.
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WB SREF NMB - North America 17km: my model of choice at this time.
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WB 12Z v. 18z EURO slight bump north
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WB 18Z EURO 7am Mon.
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WB 18Z ICON
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I am not saying that the NAM is correct. I am just saying as we are within 48 hours it can’t just be tossed because it shows a poor outcome.
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NAM is further south and weaker.
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WB 3K NAM…red flag. It was last year on several storms.
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WB 18Z 3K NAM v. HRRR at 12Z Mon.
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WB 12Z EURO…NW enjoy for at least 6 hours!
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WB EURO early week snow map. Seems like you would lower these accumulations especially on paved surfaces with temps in the mid 60s tomorrow and temps above freezing until about 12Z Monday in SE areas.
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I don’t think so…3K NAM has precip at 12Z but is too warm both at 850 and the surface. The point I am trying to make is it is cold enough further North but precip is light. Where the heaviest precipitation is it is too warm on the NAM.
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First storm is interesting for the SE parts of the forum but watch the temps. We saw this last year…red flag when the NAM in range is above freezing for a lot of the event. 12Z Monday NAM v. GFS.
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WB 6Z GFS and Oz EURO for Friday storm are both in sync of course when it is not good for us,
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Speaking of hope, 18Z GEFS. I will be disappointed if we don’t see flakes by mid January.
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There is no model that supports accumulating snow for the DC metro and points N from Monday’s storm. It is December 31, not Mid March. Don’t give up hope yet!!!!
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WB 18Z EURO…Even where it is snowing in SE VA it is above freezing.
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Show me snow You did not say from what year…fond memories of 2010, a winter not to be repeated in my lifetime.
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WB 12Z EPS. I am looking beyond early next week….
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WB 12Z GFS…. No luck so far…. But I wish all a heathy and happy 2022!!!
