Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 3K NAM…red flag. It was last year on several storms.
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WB 18Z 3K NAM v. HRRR at 12Z Mon.
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WB 12Z EURO…NW enjoy for at least 6 hours!
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WB EURO early week snow map. Seems like you would lower these accumulations especially on paved surfaces with temps in the mid 60s tomorrow and temps above freezing until about 12Z Monday in SE areas.
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I don’t think so…3K NAM has precip at 12Z but is too warm both at 850 and the surface. The point I am trying to make is it is cold enough further North but precip is light. Where the heaviest precipitation is it is too warm on the NAM.
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First storm is interesting for the SE parts of the forum but watch the temps. We saw this last year…red flag when the NAM in range is above freezing for a lot of the event. 12Z Monday NAM v. GFS.
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WB 6Z GFS and Oz EURO for Friday storm are both in sync of course when it is not good for us,
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Speaking of hope, 18Z GEFS. I will be disappointed if we don’t see flakes by mid January.
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There is no model that supports accumulating snow for the DC metro and points N from Monday’s storm. It is December 31, not Mid March. Don’t give up hope yet!!!!
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WB 18Z EURO…Even where it is snowing in SE VA it is above freezing.
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Show me snow You did not say from what year…fond memories of 2010, a winter not to be repeated in my lifetime.
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WB 12Z EPS. I am looking beyond early next week….
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WB 12Z GFS…. No luck so far…. But I wish all a heathy and happy 2022!!!
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Good Night….
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Compared to last night not as good,
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WB GFS at hour 54 compared to 0Z last night.
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Woo-hoo 1 week of winter WB 18Z GEFS. There are 6-7 of the members I would take through The 15th and call January if not the winter a win.
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I agree if you are looking for one snowstorm. Look the overall winter pattern this year stinks, but we need a little luck to get a decent storm that would make most happy. January does not look as warm as December. We are getting some PNA help, MJO support, and going into prime climo…again we don’t need or normally have bitter cold to accompany our snowstorms.
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WB latest short range Canadian brings some mood flakes.
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There is still a cool period on the weeklies…
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WB latest GEFS extended….hopefully a lot to track during January..
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Other than the GFS, none of the other models are supporting a snowstorm for our latitude. People should not get their hopes up. Even in SE VA, you can cut the accumulation at least in half due to warm ground and temperatures above freezing for most of the event.
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WB 0Z NAM is weaker and further south compared to 18Z.
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WB GFS 7am
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WB 1am Mon GFS
