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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. WB 12Z EPS is not a complete torch. After the early next week cold front, there will be a warmup, and then another cool down verbatim. Hug 26 for six hours….
  2. Early next week storm looks like the Washington football team on 12Z GEFS.
  3. WB 12Z GEFS…I would not get hung up on run to run GFS yet. We are still over a week out of any storm. A chance in January is all you can ask for…
  4. WB 0Z EPS nice depiction of PNA forecast out of record low territory…
  5. WB 6Z GEFS…at least January temps look to be in the cards next week, with some snow chances increasing
  6. First hard rain showers in over a month. Wish it were snow, but we really need the rain.
  7. You also have to like the West coast ridge building late in the WB EPS period. First time I have seen that in a long time.
  8. WB EPS probs for one inch and 3 inches. Couple of the ensembles give us snow on snow in the 10- 15 day period.
  9. WB 18Z GFS Fantasy Storm late first week in January… BELIEVE!!!! Merry Christmas!!!
  10. 1 in 30 chance of a snowstorm over the next 11 days according to WB 12Z GEFS.
  11. WB 18Z GEFS…. First full week of January hopefully will be tracking something other than 60 degree temps…
  12. AO, WPO, EPO and the NAO are heading back to neutral in 2022 looking at the latest teleconnection charts while the PNA remains negative. Not what we want for a major pattern change. it is also never a good sign when I think for the first time ever JB mentioned climate change as he expressed some frustration that the pattern is not responding to the analogs.
  13. I want to see it, just don’t see solid evidence in the models yet that it is going to happen. I guess we will know in a couple of weeks. Hopefully, we will have something to track by the end of the NY’s weekend.
  14. Let see what the EURO ensembles show, but I would love to see a better sign of a major pattern change within the next 2 weeks. There was never a guarantee of a storm, but it would be nice to get a window of opportunity in January. I don’t see it yet.
  15. Doesn’t seem very positive to be talking about the end of the major pattern to more wintry weather before it even gets started. But if the WB GEFS extended control from last evening which now goes through Jan 22 were to verify, most of us would see January as a good month.
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