JustinRP37

I'm one of those... Unless the ski resorts are open. Otherwise a 12 incher is fun while it happens, but I want to use that snow! If I see 12 inches followed by 50s then I get sad thinking about how fun it would be to ski that powder.

According to the USGS the Mid-Atlantic Region is all of Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and Virginia, along with parts of NJ, NY, and North Carolina that drain into the Delaware and Chesapeake Bays, and the Albemarie and Pamlico Sounds. The tri-state area verbatim is not part of the Mid-Atlantic as it do not drain into any of those. Thus, our area is the northeast.

A lot of it does have to do with man-made GW. So far the oceans have been able to absorb much of the increased warming, etc. Also, the oceans have been taking in quite a bit of CO2. All of which plays some semblance to the increased warming. Sure it is not all global warming, some of it has to do with the expanding urban footprint, etc. Also, some is cyclical. How much? That is debatable. After spending my career thus far earning a PhD and studying blacklegged ticks and Lyme Disease, I can tell you the tick isn’t moving north and up mountains because of human migration, but rather the climates are opening up to them. Regarding the whole GW debate, one thing that always boggles my mind is how people think we have a minimal impact on the planet. There are 7.6 billion humans on the planet, all of whole use heat to cook, heat homes, energy for AC, energy for transportation etc. even the worlds poorest burn to cook. That has to have some effect. But in the flip side the development of fossil fuels would not have allowed us to reach 7.6 billion people. However, now it is up to us to figure out how we can be good stewards to our home planet. Science has been a miracle.

Do tell for those of us at the pool with our 39 week pregnant wives...

In early August I told some of my weather buddies the long range still looked hot and humid, I remember them saying no no around the middle of the month the heat would be gone. Now they are trying to tell me it will be snowing early this year. I just do not see it. This month as a whole still looks like it will wind up being +1.5 to +3F to me. And that +1.5F might be too conservative. I don't mind the warmth in the fall, but I do start to mind it around Christmas. I like it to turn cold and snowy (at least cold) in early December in so that the ski areas can march towards 100% by Christmas. Last year was a late start for many ski areas and overall it was still a fairly tough season despite the AN snow. Why? Late January and most of February torched and that was prime snow sports time. Once March rolls around even if there are perfect conditions, people just do no go skiing or boarding at much.

That's a Florida AC electric bill for sure! But happy that the critical care puppies were nice and comfortable!

I do not quite understand though why you are trying to show this summer as a 'normal' summer when it comes to dew points. Most of the data we have suggest that this summer is not even close to normal for hours above normal. This summer has seen sustained dew points >75 for hours and days at a time. Even some of the ecological data I work with are showing this to be an exceptionally dewy and moist summer (ticks etc). And Dendrite is correct that many 70 degree dew days do end up lower in the afternoon. EDIT: Dendrite has the data for hours above 70 as posted above.

You bring up how depressed clouds makes you a lot. I'm kind of like you in the spring time because I absolutely hate it, but have you considered Phoenix or San Diego? One area I will try to go more and more to in the spring to get away from the constant gloominess, but right now it does not bother me. It is still nice, dry, and warm outside. New York really isn't known as a 'sunny' city.

It's because the temperatures tell less of the story this summer! A high of 77 with a dew point of 74 still feels hot and uncomfortable. A lot of the days with negative departures did NOT have that 'cool' feeling. Like this morning it is 73 in NYC and it feels like fall because the dews dropped off. JFK has had 34 days with a dew point of 75 or higher. We have had very few days (really if any) in July and August with a dew point in the 50s. With a pregnant wife all summer, I can tell you that our cool days have seemed sticky to her. But yes we have had some breaks. This morning though just feels strange to me. It is funny how the body can just adjust. Although the one thing I wish I could control is how much sweat the body decides to produce when I have to walk between buildings etc. I just wish I could say "body I'm going right back into the AC, calm yourself".

Maybe the sensor is melting

Just get some raw chicken and slow roast it on the tiles down there. Nothing like a good old subway slow roast. Don't even need the salt and pepper.

13 straight isn't even anywhere close to our stretch of 20 months AN at KHPN from March 2011 to October 2012, so it is possible.

I think the more important thing was that once again JB overdramatisizes the cold while ignoring the warm. Problem is his followers eat it all up. He loves to present real data, but that data is often just s snippet of what is really going on. The real story is the one you posted about, the sea-ice decline and integrity faltering in an area most scientists thought would be one of the last.

Cold brew is amazing! Once the mornings start getting colder then I'll switch to hot coffee, but I don't want to sweat more than I have to. But maple syrup does go great in all coffee. My midwestern in-laws think we are nuts for putting maple syrup in coffee occasionally. The bulletproof think for me just too intense.

No cream or sugar in that coffee? I need at least 20 ounces a day of the good stuff. Like right now it is time to make the afternoon brew.

Yeah the real estate is expensive out there, but just outside NYC is no fun either. But talk about everyone in a good mood. It was glorious everywhere. I do not think I met an unpleasant person today.

Days like this make me wonder why I don't live in San Diego. Damn it was a gorgeous day.

Top 10 morning here! Nice breeze, low humidity, and perfect temperatures. I see why people love San Diego so much as they get this type of morning throughout the year!

Great call!!! Just looked at it! Awesome job! Many called for a big cool down, something I still don't see in the extended. Bouts of averages to just above average.

Last September was +4.1F overall at KHPN and October was +8.9F overall. Very warm start to fall before the bottom fell out for November -1.2F and December -2.2F, before February roasted at +6.7F. The last September/October to be below average was September 2013 at -0.4F.

I realize that. Looking at recent history sometimes “fall” weather doesn’t even arrive until November. All I was joking about was the use of “cold”. It will be cooler yes. But again, I don’t see anything that is really below average. Nobody calls 70s and upper 60s in September “cold”.

But those warm SSTs can work to our advantage in winter. However, one thing I have always found odd is how many people on weather forums say they love the snow, but then don’t ski, board, snowshoe, ride on snowmobiles, etc. All that matters to so many is that we reach above our seasonal snow average, like last year. I personally don’t care how much snow we get as long as it STAYS for more than 24 hours. I hated getting those huge storms and just sadly watched it all melt in a few days. Best winter was a few years ago when it didn’t melt and kept piling up.

I’m not crying at all. I actually enjoy winter and summer. Fall is ranked 3rd and spring would be ranked at infinity terrible. All I am saying is there is nothing screaming “Fall” or first frost that I can see.

I wouldn’t use the term ‘colder’. I’m thinking maybe ‘cooler’ would be the more likely term for September. I’m thinking September as a whole is still +1.5 - +3.0 as a whole.

February was +6.7F at KHPN and so far August has been +4.7F. Last month was +2.2. April was a coldest departure from normal at -2.1F, since March of 2015, which was -2.7 and February 2015 which was -6.7F. That February was the coldest departure from normal I have in that dataset since December 2010. Overall since I began compiling this data for tick projects, KHPN is running +1.8F above the 1981-2010 normals.