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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. iowa derecho and that's about it
  2. well beyond useful range but the NAM is much less progressive than the GFS and digs he wave into central CA
  3. The GFS and most of the boring progressive solutions are breaking off a southern cutoff from the wave over the pacific before the trough gets to the west coast Hopefully we can avoid that, keep the wave intact and allow the trough to dig more into the four corners region
  4. Given the obvious caveat that phased setups are hard, I think we're making real progress with the wave digging/troughing on the west coast by D3/4 with a few models starting to get that look. If that's a real trend and we avoid cutoff hell, I think chances for an event in the sub go way up. Another minor positive that really only matters if a storm happens but there is actual cold air available for this one if it wraps up.
  5. Everyone needs to do a quick frankenmuth GIS
  6. might be the worst post in this thread^
  7. gonna get worse when the trailing energy ends up another coastal bomb / detroit duster
  8. the mid week period isn't a total loss yet and still holds potential if things in the pacific trend in our favor energy in question is still days away from the west coast and the environment out there doesn't give me much confidence
  9. big dog winter call going down in flames but 500k+ looking on track half a million, lol
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