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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. buried sat evening and mood flakes all day sunday is an ideal scenario
  2. healthy 1" qpf cluster at ORD with limited clunkers dragging down mean a bit
  3. Looks good, minimal run 2 run model variance continues with any minor outliers baby stepping into the fold.
  4. solid hits across the board with 12z runs, near total sweep
  5. weak plume trying to get going, loop should see some snow here shortly
  6. slp gets the squeeze from the block no matter how this plays out so raging backside defo with a cutter isn't in the cards primary work gonna be done by strong advection snows with exceptionally high pwats it's possible backside snows associated with ull passing overhead are a bit better than modeled but that won't be the show
  7. the lee cyclogenesis over co and panhandle slp track really is one of the classic chicago tracks for a reason, it's a good look and the GEFS clustering for that track is excellent likely due in part to the block as mentioned in ricky's post seeing less fail modes in play
  8. recency bias look at 850/700 is good here
  9. haven't been expecting more than DAB locally but you're just now seeing a response over the lake and returns will pick up over next few hours but not my event anyways
  10. lol he should leave the terrible calls to the pros (me)
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