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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. lake enhanced convergence over cook and developing plume from 12z NAM we haven't had a good lake setup yet since the hrrr upgrade so harder to benchmark but selling big numbers on this side is always the ez call
  2. LES falling on top of cement > LES falling on warm pavement
  3. aggressive look with LES into cook on 12z hrrr, superior connection with long fingers 1' for mimillman
  4. fwiw HRRR came in wetter over IL/IN than 6z which is probably a good sign at this range
  5. gonna be hard watching good returns over MO just get obliterated today
  6. I think we'd both be p happy with the 6z GFS LES is so finicky here and there is never much room for error, you hope the colder guidance is right and you hope the weak wave passing south helps keep flow backed longer than expected If I had to pick, I'd go Northbrook south to Jefferson Park or so for max combined totals locally, feels like frictional convergence effects are maximized there locally in similarish setups
  7. pretty much my call exactly, although 4" of LES here would be high-end for sure
  8. my expectations have been low synoptically for a while now (5.5 looking $$$ by the way) but the day or two of mood flakes from the lake on top of the fresh pack will be quality
  9. Powerball swooping in for dunks, you love to see it
  10. and the beat goes on, hopefully the lake keeps my call from verifying, lol
  11. been thinking about rebranding as a twitter met
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