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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Euro ULL pass:
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think the Euro still had a good track on the second storm, but still too far out for precip details. It could still end up as a miss.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ukie:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'm surprised too. Y'all may make me a believer in the power of NAOs...
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Para was closer to the CMC for the second system too.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Wonder what the third one will look like?
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    CMC looks like a colder version of the OP GFS (COD maps chosen since they have the most blue on them):
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Those areas seem to get left out a lot, so it would be nice for them to get in on this one.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    And the GFS says areas that miss out on this one (eastern great valley), will get in on the next one.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Para-GFS looks colder: I like when the snow shows up as purple, lol! That run looks good for S. Middle TN:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I did a point and click sounding over N. Roane county for the 8 - 9 storm on the 12z GFS (not the one above): Shows rain, but sounding guesses snow. I'm not super hopeful for my location to see much accum., but would be nice to see some fat flakes flying.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just an oddball item of interest, but the ICON digs the second storm waaayyyy down into the Gulf. I would love to see that, just to see a low take a track like that:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    MRX mentioned a subgeostrophic jet streak in their overnight discussion and I thought it was kinda cool that the NWS explanation for jet streaks: https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/winds/JetStream_Stuff/300_200_chart.htm is similar to what what the Euro is depicting for the Jan 8 - 9 system:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Overnight UKMET: Maybe it just sees the snow as 4:1 ratio type stuff as it falls over most of TN? ]
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS member 14 is truly a run for plateau east:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah the 12z Euro was nice for many parts of the state:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    I don't know what algorithm F5 weather uses for precip, but it looks promising:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like I'm 0 - 2 today on predicting the GFS. But, still nice to see big highs trying to drop down consistently.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe this time it will work out better, lol. Looks like the GFS is going for a big storm toward the end of it's run.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not sure I've ever seen something like the CMC's depiction of the shortwaves: the block is forcing energy over WY to go into UT
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    That ended poorly, lol.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    That's the only way to go!
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like the GFS is going to make an attempt on the second one too. Maybe for more areas.
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