StantonParkHoya

6 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

18z Euro

Please let it finish running for the more eastern folks before posting 

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GFS so far is suppressed for the storm next week...

This could be a coastal NC set up

One thing I'll watch for, in model runs and on-the-ground, is the "Dallas rule". Growing up in NC, Raleigh mets used to say if it was snowing in Dallas (as a result of a Miller A), buckle up.

Clearly going to come down to where the banding sets up and who gets the rates to overcome the BL problems. The idea is pretty set at this point. It'll come down to gametime to see where.

A word of caution on SREFs -- a few years ago in March, SREFS had DC in for 8+, Cantore went to the National Mall -- similarly in a borderline setup with regard to BL temps. It rained. Zero snow. SREFs fail quite often. Don't get overly excited about them.

Quick question -- why, with so many great mets and analysis on this board -- do some post maps from media outlets? Is it just for entertainment purposes?

Eastern NC actually ends up doing sneaky well this run

Totally dry in CNC.

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

I consider the piedmont central,  the triad east central 

The triad is west-central, if you consider the distance from E-W of NC. 

Anyone have maps? Edit: You guys are liberal with use of central NC. Looks like garbage for Triangle.

I'm starting to think NE NC (Ahoskie/EC/Edenton) stand to do the best.

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

SREF plumes are about to be in range and are pretty paltry through 12Z Friday even for Asheville 

SREFs are often garbage. 

I may chase for this one. Thinking Mt. Airy.

Look at that Wake County gradient! 4+ north of 540, 0 at the south.

Wow

Timing not the best for Triangle - east. Mid-day - evening.

That run definitely sucked for the Triangle

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

Good Snows , all of northwest NW , southern VA , central NC

Eh, kind of paltry actually

1 minute ago, BullCityWx said:

Looks like canadian jackpot is Rocky Mount-Tarboro-Wilson.  Generally around 5-6" for most of Guilford/Alamance/Durham/Orange/Person. Far NE Wake actually does the best for immediate triangle areas. 

It's a running joke in the DC area for southern sliders that Rocky Mount, NC is the snow capital of the east coast.

Some models have been playing with the idea of a Northeast NC bigger deal as sun sets on Friday and BL becomes more favorable/coinciding with moisture as low deepens offshore. Will be interesting to follow.

Looks like ~5 inches for RDU on CMC

Gracias everyone and Merry Christmas

Cannot see anything on this phone. Any update on snow shower chances around Wake County tomorrow?

47 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I think we have all heard talk of blockbuster snow patterns that haven't worked out the past few years so I'm pretty wary. Especially with so much model disagreement and changing run to run. DT said today the upcoming pattern is the best he has seen since January 1996.. 

well that’s obviously bs. 2009/2010 happened.

Whatever. I’ll take cold and cloudy after the past decade of Christmases at 65.

32 degree high on Christmas at RDU per Euro.

yowzers!