StantonParkHoya

You'd think with that bomb in the NE, we'd have enough confluence to keep this thing south for RDU, yet no cigar.

Bet we see some MONSTER solutions in the coming days.

Just now, PackGrad05 said:

We are still 7 days out.  I expect this to moderate and be transient.  Highs in the mid-upper 30s for central NC look likely....I'm not sold on anything colder this far out.

Wildreman, is that you?

Just now, cbmclean said:

Wait, your location says DC so...

I am quarantining in Raleigh, my hometown.

Don’t think this is Raleigh’s storm so on to the next 

Wouldn't be surprised to see the precip start earlier. These setups are notorious for an early batch of moisture to roll in once the SW flow establishes. 

This wind is no joke

Half dollar dendrites in north Raleigh. Wow.

Everything covered rather quickly

I know this is weenieish, but any thunder reports regionally with this?

Good steady snow north Raleigh

3 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Almost glad I’m in the foothills snow hole on the model runs. I was burnt a few weeks ago miserably in a similar setup. 

Similar setup? RDU is 28-31 during the peak of this snow. It's not even really marginal.

What a shellacking!

Anyone have EPS?

Looks like ~5 inches on the HRRR for RDU:

Lol, HRRR might be a snowstorm

Just now, wncsnow said:

The mountains have had bigger storms than 93. 

Objectively, no, no they haven’t. That’s why we have record books.

Well, I’m actually from the Raleigh area, and again, I said snow potential, not annual average.

As in, top-end, maximum atmospheric condition.

For the coast, I’d imagine this means bombing, negatively tilted sub-980 triple phaser with 20:1 ratios.

Now, we’ve already seen max potential for the mountains, see 1993.

I’d gander max potential for Currituck is greater than Boone at similar lat as Boone relies on dynamics, uplift, and elevation begotten ratios. Whereas the beach has unlimited moisture supply.

58 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Lol you're joking right?

No I’m not. Mountain people really don’t understand the snow making potential of a 4,000 mile wide body of water.

I said potential, not historical, although Currituck saw 26 inches in March of 1980 for an example.

A lot of people dont realize that the highest snowfall potential locations in NC are on the coast in general. 
 

See 1980, 1989, 1972.

57 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

It’s gonna be funny when Duck or Corolla is the jackpot 

I mean they were the most likely with this all along 

I mean, northern Wake across eastern NC has at least an inch on the ground with most of the models. 

That aint bad.

21 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

I think anyone north and west of 40/85 still has a shot right now, especially north of US 70 in that corridor. 

Not great landmarks considering Northeast NC stands to do the best with this 

I wouldn’t let that piece of shit GFS get you too down.

40 minutes ago, FLweather said:

I wouldn't get too excited.

Not yet.

Need some changes.

Very rarely a Miller A b produces, especially this far south.

 

 

 

Who would be excited right now?