StantonParkHoya

3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Writing is on the wall. All these posts for a 3 day cold snap then back to the drawing board till it “reloads”. Really not sure it can still snow here

Like I said a month ago, soon we’re going to look up and it’ll be March and the gig will be up

We really don’t need to burn these weeks…. 

20th looks solid for CNC and mountains

I agree on the idea that the 20th storm is the one to watch 

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This is beginning to get that desperation feel to it. Cutter after cutter after cutter. There is no way every one of these storms is modeled perfectly but as depicted at 12z, I just don’t think we are capable of winning in the SE anymore. I’ve got no words. 

La Niña pattern in a Nino

Heavy rainfall

Does anyone have stats on how often: if we get into Feb w/o measurable snow, how often we strike out for the season?

People always argue with me (yes I know it’s happened before), but after Feb 15, things start getting really hard.

18 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Near normal is ok

Not in Raleighwood my friend. 55 and rain.

Feels like a year where we keep saying “day 10 on looks good” until day 10 is March 15

Looks like the mother dump of arctic air dropping in late in the run

We cannot afford to punt to February… by the 15th, our snow climo takes a nosedive

Having an active STJ means we can accident ourselves into something

Latest run now keeps the low off the coast completely

10 hours ago, CaryWx said:

Well it's not even astro winter yet and we are only at 35N so my expectations aren't there yet. 

I do get your larger point though

No cold in sight, anywhere, is worse than our usual 'delayed' winter at this point.

March 19 is technically “astro winter”. Do you think that is good snow climo for us? Met winter exists for a reason.

We had ice age Christmases last two years and the rest of the seasons sucked, so maybe this does the opposite 

It does that with every system coming from the SE. Same with Union point in new bern that everyone keeps posting.

The sensationalism promulgated by social media is out of hand.

Was brisk this morning, but now just rain with a little breeze. Time to put this one to bed.

what a beaut

8 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

A slow ramp up but probably starting sometime between 3 and 5 am

NWS says we’ve had a gust to 31 but I have yet to see a limb move

She’s going to make landfall before 8am per NAM

10 minutes ago, TSG said:

And? that waters been getting churned by TS force winds for hours and hours. What was the temp 24 hrs ago? 

78. This isn’t Florida. Lose the attitude.

Water temp at HAT is 77 and 79 at CF, not exactly bath water

30 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Buoy reports have really ramped up. From cape fear to hatteras all offshore buoys are gusting over 50 with the Onslow bay outer buoy gusting to 65 at the moment. These winds should make it to the coast is the next 3-4 hours

You realize over-water winds do not translate 1:1 on-land?

Nor’easter comma head

Haven’t seen a land reporting station gusting over 30 yet