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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    Seems to be some timing differences with Euro starting in triangle afternoon Saturday with GFS more late evening
  2. StantonParkHoya
    If we’ve got this SER going into February, you can cancel the season. I don’t know if anyone has noticed, but spring gets started now right after Valentines.
  3. StantonParkHoya
    It’s honestly amazing to be “tracking” pre-thanksgiving
  4. StantonParkHoya
    Yeah, I mean I don't think we're getting wall-to-wall cold. Gonna need to time moisture with the cold, just like every year. As long as we avoid a relentless WAR or pac firehose, I will take it.
  5. StantonParkHoya
    We have also seen an almost perma-SER set up for years and years. It's tough to distinguish what is unfortunate November pattern vs. climate change.
  6. StantonParkHoya
    Had a frost in central NC this morning. Earliest one in years. Got down to 38.
  7. StantonParkHoya
    Uhh... theres no guarantee of a +EPO
  8. StantonParkHoya
    Hope it misses Bermuda
  9. StantonParkHoya
    18z tropical models took a swing right
  10. StantonParkHoya
    There’s no guarantee the low cuts off either
  11. StantonParkHoya
    GFS wayyyy OTS
  12. StantonParkHoya
    If the GFS is off by 2000 miles, we will get a landfall in the SE
  13. StantonParkHoya
    This time of year, any erosion in the ridging is gonna lead to a recurve. Yes it may get closer, but someone posted how anomolous it is for a storm originating east of 55W to reach USML in October.
  14. StantonParkHoya
    GFS has the thing 600 miles EAST of Bermuda for goodness sake
  15. StantonParkHoya
    The Euro would end up a fish storm too. Most guidance has it that way.
  16. StantonParkHoya
    He is not forecast to get near this. Closest approach is about 250 miles from Cape Hatteras.
  17. StantonParkHoya
    Seems to imply an absorption with the weak trough traversing NE, which seems unlikely.
  18. StantonParkHoya
    It’s like the equivalent of being in Warning criteria snow event, anticipating a foot and not even seeing a flake. Unfortunately have been a part of both.
  19. StantonParkHoya
    Pretty wild that this was a level 4 and even made national news.
  20. StantonParkHoya
    Lol at the Raleigh split
  21. StantonParkHoya
    Looks like it’s kinda fading out for the Triangle east
  22. StantonParkHoya
    Took Greensboro down to slight, and just kept the Triangle in enhanced....
  23. StantonParkHoya
    One thing about whatever line develops in CNC -- it'll be over and done within 30 minutes. Gonna be a mover. Then some snow showers tomorrow? Wild stuff.
  24. StantonParkHoya
    NC stuck in a CAD wedge. Usually hangs on longer than modeled. Would be surprised.
  25. StantonParkHoya
    Kind of sick to want snow at this point.
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