One thing I'll watch for, in model runs and on-the-ground, is the "Dallas rule". Growing up in NC, Raleigh mets used to say if it was snowing in Dallas (as a result of a Miller A), buckle up.
Clearly going to come down to where the banding sets up and who gets the rates to overcome the BL problems. The idea is pretty set at this point. It'll come down to gametime to see where.
A word of caution on SREFs -- a few years ago in March, SREFS had DC in for 8+, Cantore went to the National Mall -- similarly in a borderline setup with regard to BL temps. It rained. Zero snow. SREFs fail quite often. Don't get overly excited about them.
Quick question -- why, with so many great mets and analysis on this board -- do some post maps from media outlets? Is it just for entertainment purposes?
Some models have been playing with the idea of a Northeast NC bigger deal as sun sets on Friday and BL becomes more favorable/coinciding with moisture as low deepens offshore. Will be interesting to follow.