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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. Debby is going to have lunch in Pennsylvania Friday, I think the trough will pick her up
  2. They’ve only had a little over 3 inches https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KILM.html
  3. Guessing landfall 9-10ish pm NHC now forecasting Debby to be subtropical when it gets to NC
  4. Looks like Charleston or somewhere just north
  5. WRAL was asking shop keepers in Wrightsville why they hadn’t boarded up windows and if they were going to evacuate. I think it’s partly hype = $, and partly these kid reporters are from like Iowa and have no clue.
  6. You’re literally in Boulder, CO. No dog in the fight.
  7. Honestly, the media is insufferable during these types of deals. If you were to be unaware and tuned in, you’d think Katrina was about to descend. The flags aren’t even moving.
  8. They just showed Myrtle Beach on the news and the sun was out and people were sunbathing
  9. Sure looks like it. Almost like it’s riding up the beach to Charleston.
  10. 12z Euro speeds this up a good bit. By Friday morning it has it over Roanoke, VA
  11. I’ll toss QPF but it’s had about 15 runs now with a second landfall near SAV/Hilton Head. Can’t discount our 2nd best model.
  12. Unless the GFS were to verify. Only gives ~3 inches at RDU. Im also dubious this is still a TS
  13. Think you’re letting radar hallucinations conflate fixed position. It’s currently just south of Waycross, GA, pretty close to where it’s supposed to be.
  14. Watch Levi’s video from today where he details the difference
  15. There’s a difference in making it out to shelf water and Gulf Stream
  16. That’s exactly the difference I’m noting. GFS is just as plausible as other outcomes.
  17. For RDU it matters to the tune of about 6 inches
  18. Dies waiting for a flight out at Atlanta Hartsfield
  19. 18z GFS landfall near SAV/Hilton Head edit: then drives it back to Valdosta. At some point we have to acknowledge it may be onto something
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