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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    I’m not really sure what we’re tracking for Sunday/Monday to begin with
  2. StantonParkHoya
    It’s going to be a rain storm
  3. StantonParkHoya
    All the models are trash. Amazing I can type a prompt into AI to create a Monet painting or a fire breathing troll but I can’t know if it’ll snow in 4 days.
  4. StantonParkHoya
    So bizarre
  5. StantonParkHoya
    CNC might be in for a little Monday night surprise
  6. StantonParkHoya
    After seeing this result, and the trends from the Monday storm, I’d like to keep it showing Deep South and beach snow for 3 more days. It always comes north.
  7. StantonParkHoya
    It did not… was right there
  8. StantonParkHoya
    Big one incoming. She’s phasing
  9. StantonParkHoya
    QPF did double for C/ENC between 12z and 18z means
  10. StantonParkHoya
    We’ve seen almost top-end from 12z yesterday. That was a phase. Really only way to top it would be a triple — which, was kind of not that impossible yesterday.
  11. StantonParkHoya
    Not sure if anyone else posted but the 12z EuroAI showed a good Deep South / Coastal NC snow
  12. StantonParkHoya
    Man, while I’m not disagreeing on the whole, the past four years comes down more to our ability to suck than a poor background state.
  13. StantonParkHoya
    I mean lol… the models have no damn idea. Going from cold and suppressed to mixing issues….
  14. StantonParkHoya
    Snowing in Dallas, less suppressed so far on 12z GFS
  15. StantonParkHoya
    If the sw didn’t get buried back into the Baja, we’d be in the game. It’s discouraging because it’s so so close.
  16. StantonParkHoya
    An aside to the discussion but you’ve got to be a real winter wx sicko to hope for ice
  17. StantonParkHoya
    18z Euro has the Monday deal so far north that DC mixes at the end. SLP into PA
  18. StantonParkHoya
    Lol, totally different shortwave
  19. StantonParkHoya
    We’ve moved on from that wave. Does nothing for us. 10/11/12 in focus.
  20. StantonParkHoya
    GL low kills BL, precip stays suppressed. Gross run.
  21. StantonParkHoya
    It’s all going to come down to how it interacts with the sw diving down occurs. Does the energy eject and partially phase? That’s how we get the big dog outcomes
  22. StantonParkHoya
    Looks a lot like the GFS. Foot+ for much of the board
  23. StantonParkHoya
    I mean the Euro does have a 1001 SLP off the SE coast.. it’s a signal at least and it has a bias of holding energy in the SW back too long. When it does that, I believe the guidance is to consult handling by the UKMET. Who has that old guide on model biases and checks?
  24. StantonParkHoya
    12z CMC also likes southern / coastal areas for 10/11
  25. StantonParkHoya
    Print it. Take it now. End the runs.
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