kvegas-wx

Moderated but delayed winter coming, bank on it. Meaning we'll have 40's and 50's out to the end of April. The only unknown is whether or not we can still squeak out a Fab Feb special in the second half of the month. It only takes one storm to make a winter. But that D10+ pattern shift is elusive for sure. Until that is HERE, and not 72, 240 or 300 hours out, we dont stand a chance at winter weather. Enjoy your sun today!

Foothills up in Stuart VA. Got the lawn ready to lime like crazy, kill the moss by March and overseed into April. Mother Nature is doing a fine job right now. None of us will suffer from the winter blues and we may still bank a couple of storms in Fab Feb.

I'll take the under for $500 please. 70° patterns in January dont give up that easily. I'll ride the mild air until I see the Pac ridge lock in for more than a day or two.

I've been telling you folks to enjoy the heck out of what you have today cuz the rest of winter could easily be cool and wet. I mowed today, cleaned some trash in the woods, swept out the barn, went on a trail ride, and on and on. What an outstanding day!!

Should have some OBS coming in over the next 45 minutes. Post em if ya got em. Watching my security cams up in Stuart and waiting for that line back around Mt Airy to blow thru. 70mph gusts with that one. Get those chainsaws ready.

384 ALWAYS hints...... I'm just totally done with this wet pattern. Bring me warm and dry at this point.

Somebody from CLT south is getting ready to have a bad night. Worried about these high winds across the triad too as wet as the ground is. Power outages ahead me thinks.

We used to say BOOM alot back in the good old days when Burger was here calling the PBP on the Euro. You know, back when BOOM actually meant something. Now....well now we just say NEXT!

100 mile NW shift and we're all out of it except climo favored areas. Next!!

I will say, kinda feels and smells like snow outside for the first time. May head up to the farm in Stuart tomorrow to see a half inch of slush. But it may be all we can muster until Fab Feb.

So easy to overlook when it is just one event. I said last year after it happened that it would take multiple 3-4" events for people to feel like it was a normal winter. When you get the whole boatload all at once, especially in December, all anyone remembers is the weeks of nothing from Jan-Mar.

Only if you sit around all day analyzing it. If you just enjoy what you have it ain't too shabby! I cant tell you how much work I got done over the holiday period that I didn't get done during our extended October summer. If Mother Nature is giving me my fall in January I would be perfectly fine getting my winter in March.

But, but, but.....it just takes one storm! Miracle March will save us! I'm gonna spend my day off trolling Weather UToobers and their clickbaiting ways to keep me out of the sanitarium.

It's the 18z. Next!

The pattern is awful. So rest assured at this point there wont be any significant cold "sneaking up on us". We'll see it build over 10-14 days if and when trends turn in our favor. Until then, enjoy the early spring, late fall, whatever! If I had 4 months out of the year be exactly like today I would be quite the happy camper.

It'll moderate......to about 67° in Elkins, WV. And that will be on the heels of 3 straight days of rain. Face it folks, we are now almost halfway into January with a LR forecast and no wholesale changes towards a more favorable pattern are in sight. The winter battle will be fought over 8 weeks from mid Jan to mid March and given how far off-base most of the forecasts have been thus far, I dont think anyone knows what the heck might happen for those 8 weeks.

I expect lots of venting too. We are on the doorstep of the 2018 December Destroyer so most of us by this time last year were already looking at 120% of our annual avg. This year we are waiting on pattern alignment, we are well into December before fantasy snow is showing up, which means we will be well into January before any real chances surface. I can see us ending up with the slightly BN temps this winter that are being forecasted, but I can also see us being on the southern edge of the storm track all winter too. It's the curse we endure. I would holster that for now or risk living here in the sanitarium this winter.

Another plowable December to remember?? Great, that also means golfing by February.

Dang man, ya left us hanging over here in Kvegas! Now its just me and TarheelWx. You go to Reidsville?

I was just wondering the same thing....why no watches with this??? Especially on Halloween. Folks in my neighborhood are oblivious to the weather and are losing their minds about Kernersville moving to tomorrow night. You would think RAH or Blacksburg would err on the side of caution here? Edit - I stand corrected. I see the Tornado Watch issued for border counties north. I'll assume RAH is evaluating.

We really need to get some met commentary in here. Radar is showing a much stronger front thump developing with (maybe) a look of a few discrete cells out ahead of the main line? Somebody posted the HRRR forecasted rotation tracks earlier and this event could get out of hand really quick if that proves true. Way above my pay grade here. Would love some pro comments as folks will be headed outside as soon as 3 hours from now. (Stubborn folks that balk at moving to Friday but think they will walk their 3 year olds in a driving rain) Grrrr....

We just had about 10 minutes of sun here in the Triad too. Got real uncomfortable and Julyish real quick. Hoping we dont end up with more of that this afternoon. Does anyone have the forecasted Capes across NC for trick or treating hours? I need a mobile friendly link if available.

This weather sucks. Cant believe I am saying that on a bright sunny October day.

Just saw that myself regarding the cool down potential for the first week in Oct. But cooling is only half the battle. If we lose our growing season for lawn and garden, I pray we don't have a wet winter because everything I own will be mud by February. Need....rain...now.

You might be surprised. They may port call and take you to Coco Cay and just not let you tour Nassau. I bet they clean up Coco Cay real damn quick. Two weeks is plenty of time to bring in dozens of private cleaning crews.