kvegas-wx

Maybe we can go into torch mode and start threads to track warmups to over 55°. Of course the same result would happen across the board where the SC/GA peeps get ticked off because they easily blow past 55° while the NC and mountain peeps are the only ones posting because its gonna be "close". We cant win this year.

Hello.....hello.....hello... Is anybody in here.....here.....here..... (Slams door and walks away confused and in search of model runs showing snow)

Before I was born....didnt happen. Probably before everyone on this board outside of Old Man Burns. He and Old Man Winter may have connected in 1960.

Meanwhile, people in the upper midwest are praying for our 33 and rain today. Ya know, if mother nature could just average out our record wet years with a few polar vortexes the entire country would see multiple 6"+ snowfalls each year. But of course people in San Diego would complain about that. Winter sucks. (At least lately)

I'm sitting here in a warm sun in Stuart Va....in short sleeves.....in late January. I could triple dog dare old man winter right now and he would just walk away in shame. Stick a fork in it. Other than a nuisance event this one is D..O...N....E!! Just bring me a dry March so I can fix all the mud damage, regrade roads and get my seed down. I'll be cleaning up dead trees and leaners for months thanks to the Big Wet known at 2018.

Take a step back, so what features are present that would either block the LP up the coast (dont see anything) and draw it back with a phase? (Thought we gave up on that already?) Something has to be there for the models to keep hinting at a coastal. I'm certainly not a modelologist so I'll sit back and learn.

If we don't get a whiff of snow before month end, or have a very solid event to track the first week of Feb this board is going to come unglued. Nerves are frayed! We should install a countdown clock on the main thread page so everyone has to watch the seconds of winter tick away with no snow. We should also post discount codes for online therapy sessions. I think some folks in SC are going to need some professional help soon. Lol! I just need some dry. I mean a long ass period of dry. I have so many outdoor construction projects to finish that I couldn't do last year, I could be happy with a month of dry. Sure, I'd love one last snow before March, but outside of that bring me 50's and sunny please!

I'm gonna lay my money on too dry to have significant impact but enough for a 2 hour school delay. It is bone dry outside.

Dang it @Bob Chill, I've returned my pre-emergent and seed twice now. Now I gotta go buy it again. I'll check the golf course tomorrow and make sure the range is open starting Feb 1. That Bermuda is gonna be rocking by March! This is gonna be a bookend winter. Big start, nothingburger middle, and big finish in late March. This movie looks real familiar.

Right up the center line. Really narrow storm track. I expect blizzard conditions in the median with 10-12" in the fast lane, 4-6" in the slow lane and a dusting on the shoulders. Outside of that, cold and dry.

And this thread has officially devolved into a Blue Devils forum. Tells you everything you need to know about a crappy winter here in the south. I'm buying pre-emergent tomorrow. Somebody has to jinx this thing into a snowy pattern!

I wouldnt be cashing any checks quite yet. If we end up with a quick flip to arctic circle-like conditions for a couple weeks (supression city storm track) it could flip right back to warm and wet just as fast. We could be sitting here shivering under crystal blue skies on Feb 1st looking at indices calling for an early March warmup. Timing of systems during those transitions are likely our best bet. I mean really, how often to we get sustained blocking anymore?

Yeah, I'm just yanking Bob's chain, but I wonder if this is a case of extremes to the point that the models simply go wonky not knowing how to handle it? I've never seen anything like those runs yesterday in my 15 years of hobbying.

@Bob Chill, paging Bob Chill, you have been invited to play a round of golf in February down in the Triad. Please delete your aforementioned historic cold posts, grab those clubs and head on down. I hear there may also be some great mullet fishing as well. Lol!!

Nope. Not until the forecast includes a flash freeze and.....wolves! Yes, real live wolves running around the triad. But I agree, it kinda looks chilly.

Balmy compared to the 1981 Freezer Bowl! Heck, my chili might even stay warm on my hotdogs at -44°. :-) I'd sit through that game again!

I'm saving this post Bob. Won't hold it against you when I am sowing grass and playing golf in late Feb. Hope you are right!

Not the right thread, sorry, but full on snowing here at the farm in stuart! Get ready @Buddy1987!

Vodka served on dry ice! Surely anything making it down to the gulf would stay surpressed in this scenario. But with the right timing we can catch LPs riding underneath the retreating PV. We just dont get snow here when it is that cold.

Ok, yeah right. -15° for a HIGH temp all the way down to Lexington KY would be beyond historic. Now I did sit thru the 1981 AFC Championship Game in Cincy where we were below zero at game time with a -59° wind chill. So I guess anything is possible. But if there is any model consensus to support the GFS, even this far out, the public alarms need to be sounded. You are talking about life threatening cold for over half the nation! (For days!!)

Even sooner than that, my point and click forecast on the night of the 21st shows MINUS 7 °??? Snow next Sunday and Monday?? Highs in the 20s!! I'm thinking that has to be some bad data.

4-5 days out. Time for @OrangeburgWX to see if he can go 2-2 with storm threads this season. Reel it in!

You guys lettin' me down! Someone promised me 72° and sunny until June the other day. Until I see the FV3 starts honking ice I'm not on board for the NW piedmont and triad. The low level cold already in place by end of week is certainly enough reason to be concerned, but there is little reinforcement for it. No snow pack really anywhere to the north and no new cold shot during the LP passage. Am I missing something? Otherwise that CAD signal should erode quickly, right?

Man thats what I tried to say after the last storm and got raked for it. I sooo agree. But you should prepare for the flaming arrows if history is consistent.

You got me excited! 72° and sunny until July, right? Bring.It.On!!