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kvegas-wx

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Everything posted by kvegas-wx

  1. If anyone has any ointment, you might want to start looking for flies. Climo says no, history says no. I wont bet against those two ever when something this unprecedented comes along. We dont get historic, Sierra Nevada snows in December with marginal temps, 48 hour duration and uncannily perfect timing of two systems. It just.doesnt.happen. So where's that fly?
  2. I equate this experience to watching Tiger Woods tee off on the 1st hole in the Masters on day 1 and having everyone (us) scream "Baba Booey!!!" as loud as we can. Meanwhile Tiger just snap hooked the ball into the trees about 200 yards down the fairway. Moral of the story.....no amount of screaming and enthusiastic support could have made that ball go straight.
  3. A 1040 HP parked over Buffalo next to a frozen Lake Erie? But I'll take what I can get.
  4. Making a note of these comments. Could be quite relevant in the next 48 hours or so once we get a better sense of the strength of the HP. I do hope you are wrong, but the little guy on my shoulder is whispering you are probably right.
  5. It's 5 1/2 days away and nothing will change. It's locked in. You heard it here first! Seriously though, I bought two shovels today. The last snow shovel at Lowe's. I'll be returning it tomorrow and buying a plow if anyone wants my shovel.
  6. We had a slider across NGA last year and I think we had sunny weather that day here in GSO, so it isnt unprecendented. I just think its unlikely to see such a strong HP this early in the season to net that kind of supression. I'll keep my money on climo and go with a solid NC and upstate event for now. Significant snow in Dec into NGA is beyond rare.
  7. Lol, only place outside of DC where "truth" has a shorter shelf life is this weather board and my kid's snapchat. We get 6 hour doses of reality.
  8. With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85. This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham. We've seen this movie before!
  9. Thats a beaut Clark! Classic everything!
  10. None of this matters until I see a model showing me 65° and sunny for the two days before the storm. Cant have a great NC snowstorm without the warm and sunny prelude.
  11. Not saying the pic above isnt bad, it certainly has an impact. But in reality the houses and infrastructure still stand. The beach and dunes were basically moved 100 feet inland and covered the road. This happens with many storms and can easily be fixed. Its the water damage and flooding pics that resonate with me the most. There is simply no recovery. Roads must be reconstructed, not just repaved. Sewer and water lines, gas lines, electrical wires, homes, cars, livestock, literally everything.
  12. 24 hours x 2 in some places. Here in the triad we had between 6-8" over roughly a 36 hour run. The Dan River up in Danville VA was near its all time high I think. There were many places, almost the entire sandhills region SE of Raleigh down to the coast, that received steady rainfall for 48 hours or more. There are rivers cresting this morning over 30' above flood stage next to towns with zero elevation. New Bern, Kinston, Jacksonville. And even littler towns like Pollocksville NC which may cease to exist after this. An unprecendented catastrophy. Flo made her mark in history.
  13. Good grief is Flo even moving anymore? She is still drinking off the atlantic like a 7-11 big gulp. The radar is loaded for another 6-8 hours. If feel for those folks down east, but now I'm starting to worry about the folks around CLT and across the southern piedmont. The flooding is going to get scary bad real quick tomorrow with another 6-12" to go. There is just no way to prepare for this type of destruction across an entire state.
  14. Curious if the banding coming thru Durham and just south of 85 is just heavy rain or is it packing TS force winds too? Looks strong!
  15. Atlantic Beach pier cam is getting ROCKED!! Hard to tell but I think it is missing pieces at least on the right side vs what I saw before. No way that pier stands up to 12+ hours of this pounding.
  16. Atlantic Beach Pier is about to go down. The waves are knocking the end of the pier sideways. Wont be long.
  17. With the slight shift north and the expanding wind fields I have serious concerns for the Pamlico Sound /Tar River area around Little Washington. The downtown area there regularly floods with lesser systems. Anything approaching a 9-10' surge wont end well for those businesses.
  18. Bad time for maintenence, good time for a weakening Florence. Recon finding 956mb, similar to Fran 954mb at landfall I think, and an expanding wind field. Not sure she's gonna tighten back up.
  19. Thats amazing. If you get the full eye you would have time to clean up the yard, wash the car, grill some burgers and take a nap before the backside comes thru! Cant imagine that is accurate?!
  20. Gonna need more popcorn. Can someone summarize what is happening with Isaac as Flo creeps south? If she hangs around a couple of days she will certainly start feeling the interaction with Isaac to the south. That could keep her down south, no?
  21. Not now Florence. I really gotta lotta other crap to do this fall. Dont like that rainfall map at all for central NC. We may have 2-4" of rain over the next few days anyway. 12-15" more would not have a positive outcome for most! Power outage prep plan....engage!
  22. Downeast, that video is brutal. For anyone wanting to experience a hurricane you should first have to watch that video with headphones on for 60 straight minutes. Thanks for sharing!
  23. Begin vent.....I swear these main event threads are almost unreadable. So many weenies / newbies that post uneducated rubbish and keep those of us trying to learn spending more time blocking them than reading well thought out posts from our mets on the board. C'mon folks....banter and obs threads....post away!! Main threads, ask thoughtful questions, contribute with facts or please just stop posting and learn!! Venting over.
  24. 11pm news on channel 9 WFMY. Wouldnt expect Lanie Pope to be different. Even my WU forecast for Kvegas has me at 5"+.
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