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kvegas-wx

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Everything posted by kvegas-wx

  1. I'm in TX getting ready to hop a flight back to GSO and where I was reporting steady rain for the last 36 hours straight, I can tell you the wind is RIPPING on the back side of this storm. Not looking forward to this flight as this thing is really winding up.
  2. This thread will be loaded by midnight tonight. Lotta broken hearts across the northern tier of NC coming. I have a hunch folks down east will "see" some pretty snow that is rate driven with very little to show for it. We've all been here before.
  3. I've been posting today from TX that this system is overperforming bigtime. Still raining here and has been raining for over 24 hours now. QPF will not be the issue tomorrow.
  4. 2nd report from TX, I can tell you this is an over performer down here. It has rained like cats and dogs all day. QPF will NOT be the issue back home tomorrow unless we see convection fire up to the south. I think someone mentioned that possibility earlier in the thread. If you guys find the cold, I'm sending the liquid your way.
  5. I can officially report from the heart of our storm down here in Tyler Texas.....it's VERY rainy. Now I just need to get into GSO tomorrow night before it beats me there! Still think this is going to be rate driven lollipops following I40 and HWY 264 out east. Otherwise its gonna be snow or no with the warm nose.
  6. This may end up being an event in the favored Triad areas and i40 corridor. Temps are super sketchy during the heaviest precip. Seen plenty of these snow or no events where I get 3-5" in Kernersville and nothing in Lexington or Mebane.
  7. Say it ain't so NAM! I can't be flying back into GSO on Thursday afternoon in a foot of snow. That dog won't hunt. I'm sorry, but I'll be doing my best to throw a lasso around that thing when it crosses Texas to see if I can slow it down. If it wants to wait until after 4pm I'm all in!
  8. There is nothing....and I mean nothing....that would indicate a pattern shift before March 1. And the odds for RDU / Central Piedmont drop significantly at that point. So its likely a safe bet. Outside of a freak tango of overnight cold and pop-up LP system, there really arent any ducks on the long range pond. We cant even get a chunk of the polar vortex to break off and make national news.
  9. Usually associated with summer heat, which I hate, I agree with you as long as it can be in the upper 60's and sunny for my drought!
  10. We are so far from a winter pattern it isnt even funny. You look at what it going on in the mountain west and that tells you all you need to know. Colorado is measuring every snowfall in multiple feet. Another record year out there. And here we sit relying on freak events and perfect timing to satisfy cravings. Its gonna be a rough 9 months to next November.
  11. Majority of the precip setting up west of the 85 corridor until later today. Feel sorry for our mountain and foothill peeps this morning. Its gonna get ugly quick.
  12. I'm really hoping we dont end up with a late spring pattern shift that results in a stormy / severe pattern. Its been a while since we had widespread spring severe outbreaks and I cant deal with this rain every other day. I'm really hoping for a pattern flip, but be careful what you wish for.
  13. Trying to bait us all back in with a mythical Valentine's Day storm huh? Not having it!! I'll enjoy my 44° and mostly cloudy.....which is a helluva lot more likely to verify this winter.
  14. Still in the 50's thru 240 and no obvious pattern change in sight. I'm talking polar vortex lobe breaking off and crashing into florida and killing the orange crops kinda pattern change. Thats pretty much what its gonna take right now. So I'll leave this here and spend the rest of winter in the sanitarium. Stick a fork in this winter cuz its well past done. Time to spread the pre-emergent.
  15. The most truth ever spoken here. I predict a cold and rainy spring transitioning to a very nice May followed by 2 months of dry, followed by an August and September where it rains every weekend.
  16. Moderated but delayed winter coming, bank on it. Meaning we'll have 40's and 50's out to the end of April. The only unknown is whether or not we can still squeak out a Fab Feb special in the second half of the month. It only takes one storm to make a winter. But that D10+ pattern shift is elusive for sure. Until that is HERE, and not 72, 240 or 300 hours out, we dont stand a chance at winter weather. Enjoy your sun today!
  17. Foothills up in Stuart VA. Got the lawn ready to lime like crazy, kill the moss by March and overseed into April. Mother Nature is doing a fine job right now. None of us will suffer from the winter blues and we may still bank a couple of storms in Fab Feb.
  18. I'll take the under for $500 please. 70° patterns in January dont give up that easily. I'll ride the mild air until I see the Pac ridge lock in for more than a day or two.
  19. I've been telling you folks to enjoy the heck out of what you have today cuz the rest of winter could easily be cool and wet. I mowed today, cleaned some trash in the woods, swept out the barn, went on a trail ride, and on and on. What an outstanding day!!
  20. Should have some OBS coming in over the next 45 minutes. Post em if ya got em. Watching my security cams up in Stuart and waiting for that line back around Mt Airy to blow thru. 70mph gusts with that one. Get those chainsaws ready.
  21. 384 ALWAYS hints...... I'm just totally done with this wet pattern. Bring me warm and dry at this point.
  22. Somebody from CLT south is getting ready to have a bad night. Worried about these high winds across the triad too as wet as the ground is. Power outages ahead me thinks.
  23. We used to say BOOM alot back in the good old days when Burger was here calling the PBP on the Euro. You know, back when BOOM actually meant something. Now....well now we just say NEXT!
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