Snowy Hibbo

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About Snowy Hibbo

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    Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

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  1. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/02/16/north-america-on-the-long-term-16th-feb/ My final long range snowfall forecast for the season. Looks to continue to be bleak for the Eastern US (Mid-Atlantic included) unfortunately. Similar negating factors as there have been all winter. I also verified my seasonal forecast from November. I predicted an average season, that ended up being below average for the Northeast coast. The interior didn’t do much better either.
  2. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/02/16/north-america-on-the-long-term-16th-feb/ My final long range snowfall forecast for the season. Looks bleak for the Eastern US unfortunately. Similar negating factors as there have been all winter. I also verified my seasonal forecast from November. I predicted an average season, that ended up being below average for the Northeast coast. The interior didn’t do much better either.
  3. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/02/16/north-america-on-the-long-term-16th-feb/ My final long range snowfall forecast for the season. Looks bleak for the Eastern US unfortunately. Similar negating factors as there have been all winter. New England might be able to do better in the next two weeks or so, compared to further south. I also verified my seasonal forecast from November. I predicted an average season, that ended up being below average for the Northeast coast. The interior didn’t do a whole lot better either.
  4. Lel, it’s probably used more here in Australia.
  5. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/01/22/north-america-on-the-long-term-22nd-jan-2/ The latest blog update for long term snowfall prospects for North America from my perspective. PNW/BC/Northern Rockies to remain good for the next fortnight, reducing in the second week of Feb. California/the SW/Southern Rockies to improve for the latter half of February (maybe a bit earlier) Eastern US expected to improve for the last 15-20 days of February (2nd-3rd weeks of Feb, possibly into the 4th week) IMO. These impacts may be reduced/weakened by Arctic influence, etc.
  6. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/01/22/north-america-on-the-long-term-22nd-jan-2/ The latest blog update for long term snowfall prospects for North America from my perspective. PNW/BC/Northern Rockies to remain good for the next fortnight, reducing in the second week of Feb. California/the SW/Southern Rockies to improve for the latter half of February (maybe a bit earlier) Eastern US expected to improve for the last 15-20 days of February (2nd-3rd weeks of Feb, possibly into the 4th week) IMO. These impacts may be reduced/weakened by Arctic influence, etc.
  7. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2020/01/22/north-america-on-the-long-term-22nd-jan-2/ The latest blog update for long term snowfall prospects for North America from my perspective. PNW/BC/Northern Rockies to remain good for the next fortnight, reducing in the second week of Feb. California/the SW/Southern Rockies to improve for the latter half of February (maybe a bit earlier) Eastern US expected to improve for the last 15-20 days of February (2nd-3rd weeks of Feb, possibly into the 4th week) IMO. These impacts may be reduced/weakened by Arctic influence, etc.
  8. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2019/12/30/north-america-on-the-long-term-30th-december/ Looking like a decent chance of snowy weather for the region around the 6th-9th of January, then ridging through mid-January. Potential for more snowfall in early February, per the pattern cycle. More details on the drivers and analysis above
  9. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2019/12/30/north-america-on-the-long-term-30th-december/ For New England, I’d expect ridging for the region for mid-January, with the latter half of the month being more conducive to some snowfall activity further north in New England. Potential for snowfall further southwards later in the month, and into February.
  10. The latest conclusions from my North American long term outlook: After the New Year, we should see deeper cold risks per the GWO cycle for the Central and Eastern North American regions. The short term good pattern over the Eastern US will dissipate into ridging in the latter half of December. It might get more interesting in the days prior to January, with the aforementioned colder risk in Jan. This doesn’t mean there is no chance of snowfall, rather it is more limited. After the current short term Southern US snowfall risk, chances will be lower until January, or at least the last week of December. More details here: https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2019/12/09/north-america-on-the-long-term-9th-december/
  11. The latest conclusions from my North American long term outlook: After the New Year, we should see deeper cold risks per the GWO cycle for the Central and Eastern North American regions. The short term good pattern over the Eastern US will dissipate into ridging in the latter half of December. It might get more interesting in the days prior to January, with the aforementioned colder risk in Jan. This doesn’t mean there is no chance of snowfall, rather it is more limited. After the current short term Southern US snowfall risk, chances will be lower until January, or at least the last week of December. More details here: https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2019/12/09/north-america-on-the-long-term-9th-december/
  12. I’d say for New England roughly: Average-mildly below average for Dec. Similar, maybe a bit colder for Jan. Below average temps in Feb. I’m going with a reasonably good wider Christmas/NY period (mid-late Dec, maybe into Jan) and improving snow conditions after a potential SSW in mid Jan-Feb at this point. This of course changes.
  13. Yes unfortunately. I guess it’s probably more interesting for me to look at your snowfall chances, than the hot summer ahead for myself
  14. Hey guys, here is my final seasonal forecast for North America that includes forecasts for the entire continent including down in the SE. I favour average-mildly above average snowfall for the Carolinas and better further inland you go as well. https://longrangesnowcenter.net/2019/11/10/north-american-winter-outlook-2019-20/ In terms of your short-term forecast, I can only offer the latest in the EC model, that doesn’t look bad. It’s all subject to minor mesoscale trends inevitably, which will pinpoint exact snowfall amounts and locations
  15. Thanks You could argue a lot things about ENSO this winter. Neutral. Weak Modoki (which is what I see). It’s still quite Nina-esque in the extratropics. And some people are calling it a “solid Nino”. But honestly and I try and convey this in the outlook with the use of other drivers, it’s not awfully important the exact definitions of the ENSO at an oceanic level.