North and West
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Posts posted by North and West
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Nothing lasts forever.
Except the cold January rain.
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You dont get it. Once you are married you can do what you want...she gonna divorce you because of it? come on...keep being you
The missus will LOVE that this is one of your main hobbies, and not other ladies and entanglements.
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Some GEFS Members start hitting 60 by the second week of February. SD gives winter till the 10th. The Sun-Angle-Boys will join the fray soon too. But of course we still have that CFSv2 I posted yesterday. That climate model messed up December I believe---but got January right.
Our end of month storm has shifted 500 miles to the west from two runs ago and is Sigma -4 overhead---unfortunately with the warm sector on board--- cause it shows no snow and a lot of rain:
The Sun Angle Boys sound like a backing studio band from a country music documentary.
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When Chekhov saw the long winter, he saw a winter bleak and dark and bereft of hope. Yet we know that winter is just another step in the cycle of life.
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Despite what little snow we've seen, it's been pretty cold. More single digit nights than we've had the last couple winters here.
Not only that, but there hasn't been a thaw yet. The snow cover is minimal but has stuck around pretty well.
It’s good, too, to have this bitter cold with a relative lack of snowcover to help keep a lot of insect and invasive plant populations in check near your home.
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I think it would be a really nice place to get back to nature and find some peace and solace far away from all the noise and commotion- and still be able to drive to all the noise and commotion when that was desired. Can't think of many places like that.
Also: https://www.wsj.com/articles/second-homes-are-fueling-a-rebirth-in-the-poconos-11642694375
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Great it weakens towards spring to ruin that weather too. Who wants 50s in February and April.
I’m hoping it’s delayed so that we get this in March… cold and muddy in March just means fewer practices on grass and my lawn getting a late start. C’est la vie.
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The CANSIPS is also a massive torch like the weeklies. This is about as strong a pattern signal as you will see:
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The CANSIPS is also a massive torch like the weeklies. This is about as strong a pattern signal as you will see:
Are you invested in barbecue manufacturing and lawn care companies? (Weber went public recently) Not saying that you’re right or wrong, but it’s like wanting it to snow because you make a livelihood off of snow plowing.-
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I think it would be a really nice place to get back to nature and find some peace and solace far away from all the noise and commotion- and still be able to drive to all the noise and commotion when that was desired. Can't think of many places like that.
Hunterdon County, New Jersey… maybe Sussex or Warren if you want more hills and forests.
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The same song is played every year.
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958 mb low. Good Lord.
Going on absolutely nothing other than recent past experience, this will not pan out.
Of course, I hope I’m wrong, but it just has that feel of meh, it’s not gonna happen.
That’s my peer-reviewed scientific analysis.
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Im pissed because this might be my last winter that I will be able to track non stop and post alot on here.
My fiancee already hates when I'm on here all the time tracking storms. I'm getting married in May.
Wait until you have kids. Then you’ll be on and be like, who are these people and why are they so crazy.
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My completely non-scientific research tells me that while we all claim here to love the cold weather, it’s actually not true. Cold and dry, like when some of us were kids? Nope. We want snow. That’s what we’re here for. Mild weather, cold for a day with big snow, cold for a day or two afterwards, mild again. And repeat.
The cold and dry just leads to annoyance amongst the posters.
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actually this pattern was rather common in the 80s.
Yep
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Par for the course this year so far. Again, let's see what happens the rest of the winter. I am trying to stay optimistic.
You know how some years (like last February) it just finds a way to snow? It happens on the other side of the coin, too. Sometimes, it just finds a way not to.
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Did ACY get bigger snowstorms than us back then? I think so if we're talking about 1988-89 and 1990-91
That or everything was *well* north and west of us.
Damn it Jackie, I can’t control the weather.
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This Thursday morning event continues. Expect a few 4-5" amounts northern NJ, se NYC, sw CT. Follow HRRR I think is best, Definitely going to impact the Thursday morning commute as temps fall to freezing or below by 9AM. Added an experimental impact graphic. My last on this til late today when I'll update the thread and make it OBS-NOWCAST. Should be a sweet morning snowfall for some of us. Have a day.
I always look forward to your reasonable and logical posts. Thank you for that!
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This winter sucks
it’s been cold and our usually snowiest month is February. For what it’s worth, this is exactly the kind of winter we had around here when I was a kid: cold, small events, snow to rain.
We just had a major storm last February, and it doesn’t happen every year.
Now I sound like my dad to my younger self over thirty years ago.
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The consternation over the models is always entertaining. Look, ya got waves moving through a generally cold environment in January so there's a fair chance for a storm. Even with the players on the field tomorrow we probably won't be able to "see through" the Thursday morning storm until it's in progress so relax, have a beer and some pizza.
Every year, I watch the same movie. Models bringeth, models taketh away, and so it goes. I now go on if it’s good or bad if Walt or Don or their compatriots comment, combined with the sheer number of posts to sift through.
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With the Kuchera ratio applied this would be 10 - 18” across the area. In addition, FWIW, the Ukmet is buying into the Ana frontal event for Thursday.
As I was shoveling out slush today, I reminded myself I loved this when I was younger and that my kids do, too.
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Sigh, verbatim that's a simple lovely cold snowstorm that literally makes everybody happy. Only 5 days away, so these runs start to have some merit to them. Hopefully GFS starts to trend towards the Euro!
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Well I didn’t mean to urge, I respect everyone has a different approach to weather. I promise you I don’t look at the euro in the middle of the night but will in the morning, along with the other models. We have some very good posters who provide great info that we can learn from. That said, especially when we have a storm to track, posters come out of the woodwork and there’s some terrible IMBY poor interpretations. I just try to learn a little more each day.
It’s really cool to hear the reasonable, knowledgeable, and experienced people. As for snowman, he’s like a model with known biases; you know it’s going to be warm and just go from there.
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January 2022
in New York City Metro
Posted
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