North and West

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It got hard. Really hard :-)

some years we can't win.  But still have a solid 2.5 months of chances left so have to hang in there

Honest question, because I’d love if everyone’s name would say where they’re located (because I’m in Morristown, which is vastly different than Putnam County, Toms River, or Eastern Long Island, but I digress) when they pontificate… but is it all right to ask yet what the heck is going to happen Sunday evening into Monday?

I’ve had a lot of storms here that are wildly different versus the city and Long Island (March 6, 2018, February 5, 2001, March 1994, I go on), so I’m not sure if I should expect rain, slush, or even a little snow. Sounds like wind will occur.

Thanks, guys. And please no insane Mercer Lake commentary.


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That may be the most you could hope for here… Front thump dry slot some rain walk away with some snow cover
 
Like a bad date that ends well

What in the actual f***

Uhhh...... 

Anyone else (who’s old enough) getting March 1993 vibes?

Not saying that it’s anywhere near that magnitude, but the inland track and major storm signal.


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The gefs trying to bring the weenies back in. 

Looking at the set-up, overall map, airmass, and model spread.. fairly safe bet.

At this stage, we're all pretty much in the same boat. All model guidance has been trending toward a more amplified storm, and a mixed-precip event is currently favored over an all-snow one. As Rob says though, it's a volatile upper-air pattern, so changes are likely. Climo and the cold antecedent airmass argue for at least some accumulating snow before any change to rain.

The 6z gfs is rain to the Finger Lakes lol

Here is my analog for this upcoming weekend storm
Snow and ice storm, March 2-3, 1994 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com)

BxBigHose69?

Yeah, definitely take the “under” on his totals.

all goes in cycles

next runs will be over Buffalo....

Having lived in Queens for 2 years now I can confidently say this is how Long Islanders think of anyone west of the city:

Time seems to pass faster as one gets older because the relative proportion of any given period of time (for example, one year) compared to your whole life becomes less as one ages.
 

Kuchera is even more fun to look at for the GFS storm. Some eye candy. 

I kill it on 12/26.   Can't wait to take down the dead wreaths and tree every year but we hold off til 1/1 for that.

Walt made a thread. 
 

Is there a thread or discussion yet on Sunday morning’s possible icing event? Not a big fan of power losses before a cold snap.


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We had a pleasant 4-5 or so in MMU. Super pretty and pleasant.


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https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/ 
Since it was brought up in the main thread, love this little website.