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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    This is the type of storm that will have some unexpected surprises - now casting time..........I also wouldn't be surprised if there is an unexpected large dry slot that develops because of a sloppy transfer of the storm to the coast
  2. NEG NAO
    This is a far north the mix line gets on 18Z GFS only a few hours then moves east - stronger coastal lp
  3. NEG NAO
    I am not talking outlier regarding snowfall amounts - I am talking outlier regarding sleet/freezing rain amounts rather have dry slot then sleet or freezing rain
  4. NEG NAO
    the goal is too make that NAM run the outlier
  5. NEG NAO
    you better go adjust your numbers in the snowfall contest
  6. NEG NAO
    NAM is a warning to stay up later Sunday night and remove the accumulated snow from your driveway and sidewalks before the sleetfest and or freezing rain starts.
  7. NEG NAO
    FYI - Goodman, Kasper and DT will be special guests tonight on The Joe and Joe Weather Show at 7:30 on You Tube.
  8. NEG NAO
    New York City 11 Boston 14 Philadelphia 10 Washington DC 9 Hartford 13 Albany 15 ME 11
  9. NEG NAO
    probably taking into account the city environment itself and the traditionally low snow measurements in CP.
  10. NEG NAO
    that is weird and it extends it west into SI and eastern Middlesex County/Union NJ
  11. NEG NAO
    is 1010 WINS AM News still saying the storm will miss to the south like they were earlier ?
  12. NEG NAO
    Be careful with some of these online YouTube" Mets" for obvious reasons .......
  13. NEG NAO
    I don't have and don't want an X account - can't you start a thread here ?
  14. NEG NAO
    where is your area ?
  15. NEG NAO
    like December 26 ?
  16. NEG NAO
    I think some folks are still over reacting to that mix line because of what happened December 26 with the unexpected speed of the warm layer arriving earlier than expected....
  17. NEG NAO
    your talking a few miles at 60 hours - not going to be reliable at this range
  18. NEG NAO
    I would count on more adjustments probably south still too early to be sure about anything though IMO. I think the GFS has the best handle on this now and it has been consistent for days now.
  19. NEG NAO
    no guidance is totally reliable in the world of weather - they all have their flaws.....
  20. NEG NAO
    trying to pin this mix line down to a few miles is not going to work out this far in advance - so take it with a grain of salt today IMO
  21. NEG NAO
    that map makes a lot of sense since the Raritan River is considered a natural boundary in some storm setups......
  22. NEG NAO
    so you are saying under 6 here ? ok got it
  23. NEG NAO
    Yes - the further south the primary transfers to the coast the mix line stays further south also..........
  24. NEG NAO
    yeah 287 all the way down into Middlesex County NJ
  25. NEG NAO
    thats why its a good idea to remove the snow from driveways and sidewalks before the sleet causes an issue - and it will be easier to do because this will be falling when most are awake
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