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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. Henry's Weather
    Friday my guy
  2. Henry's Weather
    Forgot about December 2020! Feb 2021 i left out because coastal plain was screwed. Jan 2022 I also forgot. Of these December 2020 should be the best analog
  3. Henry's Weather
    This is a region-wide 12-16 assuming 14:1. First since major since March 2019
  4. Henry's Weather
    Not to say that a foot isn’t grounds for excitement
  5. Henry's Weather
    I appreciate this perspective… the vibes here seem to expect a linear continuation of increasing sensible impacts… imo 18” anywhere is like top 10% case requiring robust coastal redevelopment
  6. Henry's Weather
    Does late transmission mean anything from the input side?
  7. Henry's Weather
    This is so funny
  8. Henry's Weather
    Last semester I tried to train a predictive model on reanalysis 72 hours prior to major east-coast storms to help me create an indicator that would take in 500 mb data from NA and spit out a value indicating how likely a storm was to occur using ERA5 dataset from ECMWF. I bit off more than I could chew and eventually had to use temperature and wind data only.
  9. Henry's Weather
    I am in Paris from the 1st to the 9th, so I would bet on a major storm within that window…
  10. Henry's Weather
    16z hrrr is even colder
  11. Henry's Weather
    Flakes are surprisingly healthy in Concord
  12. Henry's Weather
    Just drove through the rain/snow line, situated exactly at exit 127 on rt 2. Here’s to it staying put
  13. Henry's Weather
    HRRR with sig. better outcome for 495 belt than previous hour. Let’s see if it keep ticking colder
  14. Henry's Weather
    Thank you thank you, based on what you just wrote, my locale (West Concord just off rt. 2) may very well be right on the r/s line. btw as an aside, is it better for cold air retention if upper levels close off in this case?
  15. Henry's Weather
    In english, are you are saying that the antecedent mass might be colder than modeled and that the upper-air structure is an unclear signal for cold air mass retention?
  16. Henry's Weather
    These SOBs… “Saturday at the earliest”
  17. Henry's Weather
    Someone should start a threat-specific thread
  18. Henry's Weather
    31-3 at the half
  19. Henry's Weather
    Muted sun, orange leaves, a Pats routing… nothing like these weekends
  20. Henry's Weather
    Pea-sized hail in West Concord. Low-level lapse rates are cool
  21. Henry's Weather
    That’s what he said
  22. Henry's Weather
    Saw a baby on one of my runs a few weeks ago
  23. Henry's Weather
    My pumpkins need this rain (and subsequent cool stretch). My jack-o-lanterns are dropping all their female flowers pre-bloom due to heat stress, and seeing as we are coming up on Aug, time is ticking… Sugar baby watermelons though, doing just fine
  24. Henry's Weather
    The SPC seems to not understand severe season in the Northeast. I think 8/10 of these slight risks would have been better designated as marginal
  25. Henry's Weather
    Oh you think so low of me…
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