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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. Henry's Weather
    I’m so fucking done. I thought I didn’t care but I did
  2. Henry's Weather
    18z RGEM has a better orientation… lol
  3. Henry's Weather
    This cracks me up every time I see it, what was the story behind it again?
  4. Henry's Weather
    Yes… guilty
  5. Henry's Weather
    Attachment is the root of all suffering George
  6. Henry's Weather
    Ah, so traffic upstream is why no matter how far north the storm initially gets, it always gets shunted east. A clean phase would maximize latitude then?
  7. Henry's Weather
    Is it accurate say that our “best gains” may come from pushing that confluence over Newfoundland NW?
  8. Henry's Weather
    06z GEFS, hour 114 (!!!). post-mortems about a storm 4-5 days out with 30% of the ensemble envelope being a massive hit is insane to me. Trends are trends, but we have about 2.5 more days for meaningful trending to occur.
  9. Henry's Weather
    The entire continent of Europe has decided this is the weekend to search for Amelia Earhart
  10. Henry's Weather
    Let’s just get the pieces on the board, think we have another 36 hours before our nrn stream piece is entirely turf, not surf
  11. Henry's Weather
    No, not outside of a competent golfer’s swinging distance. Let’s hope God deploys prime Tiger this fine week-end
  12. Henry's Weather
    Hear hear, maybe lets get DeepMind to build a superior AI weather prediction machine, since it has trounced all competition in the fields of chess and go. I trust Demis Hassabis with my life (and my social credit score if it comes down with it). Those brits sure know how to make a computer do their bidding, even if they euthanized Alan Turing because of that skill
  13. Henry's Weather
    We await EPS, not the shift we wanted from Europe’s flagship numerical weather prediction model
  14. Henry's Weather
    It’s easy to confuse disappointment (true dopamine reward vs. expected reward) with real information
  15. Henry's Weather
    If I had to bet real money, I bet it’ll essentially hold serve, with maybe a 50 mile buffer each direction. We will see, because the venn diagram for restfulness and weenie-dom is comprised of two separate circles
  16. Henry's Weather
    God, how the hell are we supposed to sleep? I get that we have exactly zero control over the outcome, but why do our bodies have to force us to bear witness??
  17. Henry's Weather
    … I’m just kidding, I’m as guilty of that as the next
  18. Henry's Weather
  19. Henry's Weather
    Good to see we kept a quorum of participants out on our side
  20. Henry's Weather
    Unfortunate to see the OP runs deteriorate. However, this was true, both at 12z, 18z, and now: OP runs should be considered pure theatre until ~72 hours before the first flakes would fall. It is best to tracks ensemble trends at H5
  21. Henry's Weather
    We should take this disco over to its specific thread, courtesy of Tip
  22. Henry's Weather
    H5 orientation took a step back this run, a shame. We wait for ensembles
  23. Henry's Weather
    Alright, model talk can go here!
  24. Henry's Weather
    Somebody stormvista us!
  25. Henry's Weather
    Looks more like 12z.
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