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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. I think I am coming to terms with likely being in between the best zones - I’ll take a 16” anyday
  2. For big dogs SNE-wide, I have learned over the years to want H5 centers to track closer to ACK. I don’t like, and haven’t really liked frankly, these H5 progressions right over BM. Not a met, but my 2 cents
  3. Even given a slip east, 495 may receive a deform, but I don’t buy an inside benchmark track yet - need more consistency
  4. I’m not confident this doesn’t slip east - spider senses are acting up, been here before
  5. Cmc holds serve, shows a strong deformation signature
  6. Undeniable east ticks over past 4 runs on GFS. Should not minimize this fact. Would rather be in Taunton than in Worcester
  7. Those with good memories - how does the guidance for this storm compare with Jan 2022?
  8. When QPF gets better, we will rarely post upper-levels…
  9. Those estimated ratios are crazy… given QPF, probably want to shave off roughly 15% of forecasted totals
  10. Thinking that if this one doesn’t compare to Nemo and 2015 and the rest, it’ll be because if early occlusion
  11. S/w also closes off earlier. Think this may be more LBSW
  12. If we can slightly delay maturation, would be good. May come at the price of a tick east
  13. 18z NAM has better antecedent kink but whole axis is more positive. Curious to see how it plays out
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