Jump to content

Henry's Weather

Members
  • Posts

    1,727
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. 00z vs. 18z GFS (grain of salt, amateur analysis) confluence in 50/50 region trended weaker but what was far more impactful was the speed of the kicker (faster) and the decreased amplitude of ridging preceding the s/w.
  2. Wishlist over next 48 hours: Stronger omega block, N trend confluence, slower/weaker kicker, stronger ridge centered over ID. Giving this one a 20% of hitting
  3. How long does it take to affect the troposphere?
  4. That 12z GEFS ensemble lows output puts this to bed… I’m done lol
  5. On the bright side, a miss will give crews a chance to do more clean-up. Champagne problems but I don’t like having to run around a parking lot in circles like a lunatic
  6. Don’t get me wrong, ill take a miss… commuting is horrific
  7. Am I wrong? A full hit in this set-up would be feet
  8. Gun to my head, I think this hits us. I think majority on the forum agree (not that it actually matters). We’ve seen too many of these shift NW incrementally
  9. Tonight I think it’s full OTS on operationals but ensembles only get marginally worse. Tomorrow night, thinfs will start to tick back
  10. Rayno is great, was one of the first mets I followed as a kid. Good introduction to 500mb analysis
  11. Think many of these spots will end up closer to 10:1. I think it was a mistake to assume higher ratios from WAA setup
  12. I seem to recall great rates, just that it only snowed hard for 8 hours
  13. Ghost of 2015… hate to say it for the WOR crowd
  14. Anybody have a interpretation of why H7 frontogenesis matters? SPC H7 fronto does not match snow growth here
×
×
  • Create New...