CheeselandSkies

1 hour ago, madwx said:

Milwaukee finished with the warmest December and year on record.  Madison was 4th and T3rd respectively.

Remarkable, since it just doesn't stand out in my mind for sustained anomalous warmth like 1988 (I was too young to remember, but my parents do as that was the summer I got sick on a camping trip with my grandparents and they assumed it was heat-related at first, but I ended up having surgery to remove a [non-malignant] tumor at age 2), 1995 and 2012 do.

Probably because around here you can be +10 to 15 in January-April, and October-December and it still feels cold to pleasant instead of "hot."

Yes, 12Zs backed off on things a bit but how could they not after the insane 06Z run (for GFS at least)? 972 mb over Memphis goes in the weenie run hall of fame.

13 minutes ago, Powerball said:

It's pretty desperate times when grapsing at a *potential* system 10+ days out...

Certainly not grasping at it, just mentioning it. Verbatim a lot of the runs suggest (heavy) rain if anything for most of us. I'd be fine with armchair chasing a winter Dixie outbreak.

6 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Was CRUSHED with 1.7” out of that WSW 

Was just thinking, wasn't that storm yet another 11th hour collapse of what had been consistently modeled high-end totals? All it was was f**king cold.

Anything in the teleconnections that would support the powerhouse being shown on the last several runs of the GFS around the 1/9-10 timeframe? Location, type and ceiling of impacts all way up in the air at this range of course, but a system of that caliber would certainly be very interesting to track regardless.

Overachiever here in Madison due to changeover not occurring as quickly as expected. Totals won't be super impressive but it was ripping fatties for most of the morning. That and a loose dog on the westbound Beltline Highway (variously US 12/14/18/151 across the south edge of the city) made the commute a nightmare.

https://www.wmtv15news.com/2023/12/28/dog-stops-traffic-beltline-literally/

5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Zzzzzz 

On to February 

Hey, at least the GFS is giving us fantasy range crush jobs now (for southern WI, still rain for Chicago).

what is 103 knots on the Saffir-Simpson scale (which doesn't apply)? I forgot.

3 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Back when Al Michaels, Dan Dierdorf, and Frank Gifford called the games.  Pretty cool Al Michaels is still calling games, been hearing him since I was a kid.   Gonna be sad/end of an era when he finally retires.

https://people.com/al-michaels-wont-call-nfl-playoffs-for-nbc-amid-criticism-8415276

17 hours ago, Chinook said:

STP  around the start of the event

That'll do it.

32 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

 

I must have missed this. CheeselandSkies, do tell!

Intercepted the Keota, IA EF4 back on March 31.

I'll link to my post on StormTrack since I purged my attachments on here a few months ago (plus due to the limits I couldn't fit them all, anyway).

https://stormtrack.org/community/threads/2023-03-31-reports-ar-ia-il-in-mo-ms-tn.32371/post-376146

Not sure if you're a member there, or if you can see the attachments if you're not. If not, my photos are on Flickr as well.
 

https://flickr.com/photos/andywskies/albums/72157655308092622/

Yikes...

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

28 minutes ago, Chinook said:

tornadoes reported close to the Hopkinsville Kentucky radar site

Now that I've finally caught a sig on my own, just to prove to myself that I can, thinking about joining a CoD chase tour in the spring.

8 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Sure miss big December storms like this one 14 years ago today in 2009.  8-12" for the QC, about a foot for much of central and eastern Iowa.  At least we have events like this to look back on and reminisce lol.

 

That brought down a tree over the mouth of our driveway (I was living at home with my parents near Stoughton, WI at the time).

My dad and I both took off work and it took us the entire day to clear the driveway using a John Deere 112 garden tractor with a snowblower attachment (single stage, so it couldn't throw that paste for shit) and a little Toro push snowblower. I have video, too but I killed my old YouTube channel. Maybe I'll reupload it next year for the 15th anniversary.

6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Nah he is far beyond trolling. And actually I wouldn't say its sacrilege. Board is still full of cold lovers, but there's a little group of warm trolls. I think they all live in a commune somewhere together with palm trees and they hold fire next to thermometers to see how warm it'll go.

Hey, I prefer warmth (although that's in relative terms by Wisconsin winter standards), but I try not to troll.

Welp, we're already 1:1 on potential events:rug pulls on the season. Why does the GFS even go out to 384 hours if it's that bad at 120 hours?

GFS went from having the surface low over Indiana at FH126 to having it over Green Bay at FH084 on the 06Z run that just came in.

If it was April, I'd love that trend.

Powerhouse on the 12Z/18Z GFS for next Saturday would cause winter wx issues here as well as threat down south. Good times.

00Z WRF-ARW would be...problematic, to say the least across LA/MS. Consistent with its previous (12Z) run. HRRR looks pretty rough too, has uptrended somewhat from earlier runs.

20 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Maybe down south at some point. Definitely not this upcoming week, though.

Yeah, a couple of those runs with the big western trough hinted at the potential for something more into the Midwest/Ohio Valley region in mid-November (something like 2002, 2005 or 2013) but nothing really came to fruition.

On 11/8/2023 at 11:24 AM, CheeselandSkies said:

Possibly some potential in there somewhere, as well?

SPC starting to hint at it but exactly when/where/ceiling all still quite uncertain at this point.

*Edit: Just noticed this is yesterday's 4-8, they're waiting quite a bit longer than usual to release today's.

Quote

   Medium-range guidance is coming into better agreement regarding the
   potential for a substantial upper trough to move over the West Coast
   during the latter half of next week. Evolution of this system into
   next weekend is still uncertain, but this trough could lead to a
   more consolidated upper pattern across the CONUS, bringing the storm
   track closer to the low-level moisture.

   ..Mosier.. 11/09/2023

2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

BTW you realize cromartie was lying. There is no way he was done raking by mid-October in the 1990s and now not until late-November. I guess somehow magically his leaves fell 2-3 weeks earlier in the 1990s and now fall 2-3 weeks later than they do at a similar climate here in SE MI. 

Until someone explained it to me, whenever I would see that name posted I would think of former NFL cornerback Dominique Rogers-Cromartie because that's the only place I'd previously seen/heard that name.

18 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Solid agreement on deep toughing returning to the West Coast much of next week, as we see a bit of a shake up in the large scale pattern across North America and vicinity. This will lead to another period of very mild temperatures across the sub-forum.

Possibly some potential in there somewhere, as well?

20 hours ago, Geoboy645 said:

This storm was really the first snowstorm I remember somewhat completely. If I recall it had blizzard conditions for a while at Madisn. This is the one that caused the interstate to close between Madison and Janesville, leading to a bunch of people being stranded for quite a bit. It's the reason why there are crossing gates at select interchanges in Wisconsin on the interstates. This storm, the 6/7/08 tornadoes, and the 08 flooding are the events that really got me into weather. I would love a repeat of this storm, without the people being stranded of course. 

Yeah, 2008 overall was a balls to the wall kind of year for both and in the Midwest. Occurring as they did in my young adult years it and 2010-'11 really upped my expectations for La Ninas which this recent stretch largely did not live up to.

My dad was among those stuck on the Interstate on 2/6, on his way home from work.