George BM

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand I can't read it because it's on the Washington Post and somehow I've already used up my free readings although I haven't read a Washington Post article yet this month.

Shoot. Didn't realize the deadline had past. I'm about to read your story.

Reaper call or Watch list?

Did you lose power and/or notice any damage to your house after it took a direct hit from lightning during the June 4th storm?

Indeed. Now parts of the upper Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes region are under a moderate risk of severe weather (45% hatched wind)... only the second moderate risk or greater anywhere in the US since April.

Lots of models have been hinting at a strong shortwave trough interacting with Cristobal's remnant circulation and becoming negatively-tilted through the Ohio Valley. The GFS has been most aggressive and fastest model when it comes to swinging the cold front associated with the shortwave through the region (late Wednesday). Most other models are slower with the cold front and have weaker shear/dynamics as a result of the shortwave being farther away from us by the time the front passes through (Wednesday night/ early Thursday) as well as poor timing heating-wise anyway. Should the shortwave and front be a bit faster, like the GFS shows, there could be a severe threat come later Wednesday given the warm/moist airmass that should be in place from Cristobal. Just me thinking out loud. It's a bit of a long shot atm given how different the GFS is from other models timing-wise. Well have to see how the interaction takes place between the two main features. #Notanexpertopinion

Being in a spot that normally misses out on storms this evenings storm was a decent one my MBY standards. Sheets of rain w/ 40+ mph wind gusts at times. Better than normal for MBY.

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newjersey/seasideheights/?cam=seasideheights Next in line.

Yeap. I haven't noticed any lightning though.

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/pennsylvania/philadelphia/?cam=philly Enjoy.

Verbatim, it would be a nice fast-moving line with good wind potential if CAPE ended up better than modeled... not that I'm implying that it will be.

Meteorological summer is upon us.

PDS Tornado Watch 333 in effect until 9PM EDT June 23 2020 Hazards: Numerous long-track intense tornadoes likely Numerous significant wind gusts to 105 mph likely Widespread large hail with scattered giant hail events to 4" in diameter likely Discussion: A well-developed and intense MCS/derecho continues to move through much of West Virginia AOA 65kts. The environment within the watch area is characterized by extreme instability (MLCAPE 6000+ J/kg), impressive shear (EBWD 60-80 kts), high moisture content (Pwats of 2-2.25"+) and strong DCAPE (1200-1500+ J/kg). As the MCS moves into the mountains additional supercells are expected to rapidly develop by 19-20z along the foothills/Blue ridge ahead of the main line and move east through the DC and Baltimore metropolitan areas. With the very strong low-level shear also in place (effective SRH of 300-600 m2/s2) these cells will have the greatest risk of producing long-track strong to violent tornadoes as well as very large to giant hail. The greatest wind threat over this region will come with the main line of storms between 20-23z with high-end severe winds (possibly in excess of 100 mph). Storms will move out of the watch area by 00z. Forecaster: George BM

Many thanks to you all for the birthday wishes, Weather family!

Congrats intermountain NW?

I'm just glad that I was not old enough (4 years old) to remember that debacle of an 'event'.

How much rain has your yard picked up so far this morning?

Yeap. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 666 STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1219 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MARYLAND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN VIRGINIA CENTRASL AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL 700 PM EDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. ALSO...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 95 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTOWN WEST VIRGINIA TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BALTIMORE MARYLAND. REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION... CONTINUE...WW 665... DISCUSSION...INTENSE BOW ECHO OVER SERN OHIO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD AT 55 KT ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY. ACTIIVTY WILL REACH THE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON DC AREA AROUND 5 PM. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27055.

August. August 9, 2000 to be exact. It was even Severe Thunderstorm Watch 666. Lol.

For todays risk look out for how much high level cloud cover we get from the storms currently developing in the Carolinas.

It's the most humid day of the year so far. It's the first 70+F dewpoint day of the year.

There hasn't been a MOD or HIGH risk issued anywhere in the country this month from SPC. Quiet indeed. One time period that I'll watch is following the cool shot at the beginning of next week. As a ridge tries to build in during the week watch for any potential NW-flow event. Small note: Some of the 0z convective models hint at scattered storms/convection trying to develop tomorrow afternoon from Bertha. There looks like there will be some low-level shear (not super impressive LLshear but some LLshear). If storms can develop tomorrow there might be a risk of gusty winds and perhaps a rotating meso or two. #Notanexpertopinion

I just got a new Honda HRN216VKA self-propelled push mower (a durable mower) after the Toro that we had since 2003 finally gave up the ghost last month if this adds anything of value for you.

^There's a tropical wave with a surface trough affecting Cuba and Florida with heavy rains now. A few models actually try to spin-up something weak (probably too weak for any tropical classification) from this. This would be especially true if the disturbance moves off the east coast of Florida, Georgia and into the Carolinas. Regardless, this would result in the high Pwats in the region by mid/late week. #Notanexpertopinion