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George BM

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Everything posted by George BM

  1. We need another "No Thunder" severe risk here.
  2. With all that said, though, I'm still watching Zeta, of course. A weaker Zeta may actually move more west and interact more with the incoming trough and help keep the eventual track towards and through our region a bit further northwest.
  3. Yeah. Far eastern areas had fantastic wind events this spring. I also remember the southerly winds during the pre-dawn hours of, I believe, Monday, January 25, 2010. Some of those gusts were legit (nearing 50 mph here). And yeah... peak gust from Isaias here... 29 mph. We'll get a good event at our respective locations again eventually... probably. Will it be within the next year or within the next millennium? That's the question.
  4. I'd love to have at least 35+ knot gusts w/ wind-driven rain from a remnant tropical system at least once in a while here... it doesn't even have to be a Hazel , 1933 hurricane, 1878 Gale or Isabel redux to make me happy... December 19th can't come soon enough! Oh wait- that will be a westerly wind event though.
  5. Me too. I actually saw a meteor from the Orionid around 5:15 am..... Me three. I took a 53 minute walk this morning (5:11am - 6:04am). I saw the stars, Mars and Venus through the fog like you two. But probably looked down the one moment the meteor went by. Mars disappeared low in the western sky into the fog before I got back.
  6. What are your drizzle totals so far?
  7. Happy 66-year anniversary DC area!
  8. Misty and breezy with a temperature of 60F at IAD currently.
  9. Looks like the two dustbowls have finally seen a 1"+ rain event! Time for a celebration! =
  10. Yeap. You two saw this. https://www.amsmeteors.org/2020/09/bright-fireball-caught-above-ohio/
  11. What beaches are you two thinking about going to for the early April coastal blizzard? OC MD? ALTC NJ? ... VA beach?
  12. The sounding is valid just ahead of a strongly-forced very fast moving line of severe thunderstorms along an arctic cold front. We are under a Moderate risk of severe weather for WIND (45% hatched). There are also 10% TOR probs across the region... though I'm particularly watching that QLCS tornado threat as effective SRH looks be potentially be on the order of 700 m2/s2. While wind is the main threat don't sleep on the tornado threat at all. All the CAMs have several decent helicity swaths through the entire region, especially along and east of the mountains where CAPE looks to be the highest w/ low LCLs. It would actually not surprise me if we end up seeing more tornadoes w/ this event than with the February 7th event this year. We could also get a quick 6"+ of snow within 30-60 minutes with this event! Overall I'm feeling really excited about this event and am happy that we may finally get a decent area-wide severe event. I definitely look forward to the multiple case studies that will undoubtedly be done for this one.
  13. Pumpkin Spice and dead leaves fragrance the air.
  14. I've tried looking for them. Do you happen to have their links?
  15. I remember that day as well. I remember some heavy showers throughout the day w/ breezy conditions. I remember getting home from school in Herndon hust after 2:30pm and being surprised that the main line was already right on my doorstep. Looking back at that thread I remember lots on here being surprised at how early the main line arrived as well. There were brief torrential rains and wind gusts into the 30s (mph) here from the line. I noticed no thunder/lightning at all from it. I too was surprised to see looking back at SPC archives for that event a few years later that we had been placed under a MDT risk for wind (45% non-hatched). That would just be a high-end ENH risk the way that SPC works today. I remember the lack of tornado warnings as well despite being in a 10% non-hatched tor risk. The September 8th, 2012 event ten days prior, on the other hand, was a lot more impressive in the region with a lot of minor wind damage. I got wind gusts of 50+ mph in my neighborhood from that event. The funny thing is that the line from that event seemed more impressive down here than it did up the urban corridor where there was an actual MDT risk in the place... save for the Long Island tornadoes that day. As a whole though, that September was definitely a bit more exciting than usual severe weather-wise.
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