George BM

Never been. It probably didn’t help that I was an incoming freshman at 28 years old and had to retake 20 credits from the classes that I ditched back in ‘81. Wait... you're all the way up there?! ... Also, happy 1,000th to me!

Funny. My car alignment actually IS a little off to the right. ... I'm sure most people do have a slight alignment issue with there car though. So probably not to big of a coincidence to have it mentioned.

In other words... a fairly decent tropical hit. I abscond.

Wallops Island launch will take place at 3:21pm est. Less than 15 minutes from now. ... Assuming it's not scrubbed again of course.

Not going to lie... you threw me in a loop for a second there... until I read the end of the post. Yeah 5 years ago at this moment the heaviest part of that snow squall was getting ready to wind down here. It was my favorite minor snow event here for sure.

Wallops Island launch in less than two minutes 5:39pm. ETA: Scrubbed.

PSA from Captain Obvious: Which of course makes sense because the sun angle is the same now as it is it during the first few days of November. Fin Currently the temperature is 49F under sunny skies. Dewpoint: 24F IAD

I definitely notice the weird distortion effect sometimes. I also sometimes dream that there is more than one "sun" in the sky creating several weird shadows everywhere. The main pattern, though, that I have with any weather related dreams is... generally really not too much different from weather weenie life in these parts. I'd dream about an incoming significant weather event (whether severe, blizzard, tropical... but I guess mostly severe), I'd become very excited about it and then I'd wake up... I really need to become a better lucid dreamer.

Was there any thunder with the snow? Also, what would you guesstimate the snowfall rates to be?

Those radar echo tops are over 6kft high.

Incoming.

This is only based off of what I personally have observed in these parts. So this is in absolutely no way expert analysis. I've noticed that the few times that we can actually do "well enough" and get close to maximizing our potential with low CAPE/high shear convective events is whenever we have a trough that tilts negative to our west with a strengthening surface low moving up the Appalachian Mountains. April 6, 2017 comes to mind. Also December 21, 2018 which probably no one remembers because the storms from this "event" only produced some brief 40-50+mph wind gusts and small hail from NVA into north/central MD and was more localized than this mornings event... but it was still at least something for late Dec and the wind profiles were weaker for that "event". This is assuming that CAD erodes quickly enough of course. I know... this is a very small sample size I'm sure there might be a few that I didn't mention. People on here who know more than me, what's your take?

@yodaI see that you're finally up.

Yeah. I'm not sure I completely trust myself to be "smart" if a tornado is bearing down on me. I'm guessing my "flight" would eventually overpower my "fight"... but probably not until 2x4s are raining down and shooting past me... that's if I'm still on the ground ... ... Yeah I'm a psycho.

@mappy Sorry I'm late... but I'm really pulling for your sister to make a full recover. I wish your sister and family good luck in this time.

Lol. Zancildae, you KNOW that there is an ENH/MDT risk day in our future this year that will not be as exciting as this morning was for some ANYWHERE in the region.

I did actually hear thunder in Herndon near the start of this hour.

In all seriousness though. We just got a MRGL for parts of the region for TOR and WIND in the 1300z update.

This is how we do severe in these parts.

There could be some strong gusts with them.