tunafish

We had two stretches in the beginning of the month where it was above freezing for 72-ish hours straight. That's enough to offset the BN. Amazingly, the ice managed to survive with no issue. Been two great winters for pond hockey and ice fishing (some will roll their eyes, but you gotta get out and have fun on the cheap sometimes).

PWM event total 14.2" / 0.92" Depth 14" (was 4" prior to the storm)

PWM - 05z obs 14.1"/0.91" Total Maybe another tenth or two left. Notes are usually more neat, but this has been a fun, prolonged storm. Hoping the rest of this stretch delivers more.

Christ on a cracker

wut

Highest vibes in a long, long time in here.

Pretty rare PWM has higher ratios than CON. 9.5"/0.68"

05z PWM Obs 4.8" new / 9.5" total 0.35" SWE (0.68" total) Depth is 12".

Hey, @NovaScotia - real sorry about that. We got a little too excited.

PWM 00z obs 4.7" new/total 0.33" SWE 9" depth

Major climate sites (Logan) measure at 12z, 18z, 00z, and 05z (during standard time +01 for savings). Observers try to report to the NWS within 30 minutes.

What am I looking for on velocity that identifies the CF?

Overheard at the rink this morning: "It's only supposed to snow for 6 hours so I don't know how we're gonna get 3 feet." Nearly bit my tongue all the way off. OVC 2°/-10°

Great idea. Average scroll time of 90 seconds. Weenies enter thread, tug away, , leave.

Hey, buddy. Just like old times. Enjoy.

Never thought I'd see the day where we're calling 2" per hour 'crap'. Shame.

Lol they updated the graphic for socials - all of 21 minutes after the first one.

MPM will dump his coffee on his keyboard when he sees this in a few hours.

I blame them for including the islands on the graphic.

I feel like I do every time I try to read that damn number over PWM.

YLTSI

I said cred, not pro! How'd (A)I do? 1/25–26 Coastal Storm Thread: Deep Cold + Moisture Feed = High-Impact Ceiling (Still Volatile) Big picture: We’re heading into a major arctic outbreak with a cold high pressing across the northern tier, while a frontal zone + subtropical moisture plume sets up to our south. Guidance supports a significant winter storm from the southern tier into the Mid-Atlantic, with increasing signals that SNE is now in the envelope. Over the last ~48h, there’s been a notable north shift in many solutions, tied to greater interaction/phasing between southern-stream energy and northern-stream energy over the Plains → deeper trough → stronger downstream ridging → farther north storm track. WPC notes this shift is broadly reflected across deterministic/ensembles/AI guidance, but also warns the unanimity could be partly a mirage due to unresolved shortwave details. SNE baseline expectation (as of 1/21): • Snow looks increasingly likely late Sunday into Monday, but exact track/gradient still low confidence. • Ensemble spread still supports anything from “a few” to “10+” depending on where the coastal low tracks relative to the benchmark. • With the arctic air mass in place, SLRs could be higher than climo for much of the region where snow verifies. Things to watch: • Track vs benchmark (suppressed / benchmark / inside runner) • Degree of phasing (deformation/banding ceiling vs quick hitter) • Coastal front placement (I-95 jackpot potential vs sharp cutoff)

Delete this and someone with some cred start a new one with a synopsis. Please and thanks.

This is my next project after I finish the Tippy AI-bot.