chris21
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Everything posted by chris21
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Expecting a pretty intense blizzard here and making final preps this weekend. If that upper low takes the euro track, look out! Looks like 50 mph winds, temps in the teens and snow squalls.
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41-38 here. Mount Mitchell has been below freezing for the last few hours and I figure over 5500 in the roan it is as well.
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Dude, no offense and I enjoy some of your posts… this is the least surprising take I’ve ever seen on the board, and I’ve been on here or easternwx (or wright weather before that) for over twenty years.
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I might try Canaan valley state park. Easier to access and the road is generally in decent shape. Black bear has some decently priced suites that are pretty cool also.
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Yeah, 80-90 percent of my snow comes from NW flow lately. If we actually had an average amount of synoptic snow we could really rack up the seasonal total.
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37 currently
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Not sure that the magnitude of this MJO pass is set in stone yet. There are many solutions depicting a stronger MJO pass and the models haven’t been exactly locked in on its strength.
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Same here man, somehow I’ve been hit twice in the head!
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MJO is forecast to make a serious pass in 5/6 by the GFS.
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Could lead to more blocking.
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35 also up in Avery.
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The resolution is too low to depict accurate snowfall totals along the spine of the Appalachians. The Allegheny Front in Tucker County average 150 inches of snow a year while a few miles away Petersburg averages maybe 20-25 now. Impossible to depict that with that resolution.
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Cool fall day up in the Roan. 44 for the low, with a high of 61 under overcast skies and breezy se winds. Temp has fallen to 58. Have had to start the wood stove this week. Looks like the pattern will turn cooler at the very least right after mid month. First inch of snow was Oct 14th-15th last year.
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41 this morning.
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38.1 for the low this morning. Very misty. The temp rose for several hours after midnight, otherwise we would have had our first frost.
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44 here currently with the temp falling fast.
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Our lows are pretty cold because I’m in a deep, high valley (3800 feet, surrounded by 5500-6000 foot high mountains). On upslope snow days our temps get very cold also. The flora on my property is pretty similar I’d imagine to your area. A lot of Beech, Yellow Birch, Sugar Maple and Basswood.
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Mine is 40/18 in North Carolina. All elevation and location on the windward slopes.
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IOD is forecast to be neutral be early December.
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Not liking the trends up here in the mountains. Still want to see a few more models runs before I start making any preparations or anything.
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For the coastal plain/piedmont that is true. At my location in extreme NW NC at 4000 feet, we have had many above normal snow years in warm winters. We average at least 45 inches and approximately 80 percent of that comes from upslope. We have never had a winter without at least 20 inches of snow here mostly due to the reliability of upslope even in total dud winters.
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Hey Don! I think the second chart should be for La Niña and not neutral-cool.
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Last winter the storm track was even suppressed south of me in extreme NW NC. Thankfully we always get consistent upslope snow so we still ended up with 43.5 inches but very little was from larger synoptic events even this far south.
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Summer is def over in the Roan Highlands. Avg temp for the first 15 days of the month is 59.3. The last few days have been seasonably cool.
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Highest we saw this summer at my house was 81. I imagine we won’t see 75 again before next Spring up here on Tenn border but I’ve been wrong before.
