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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. Northern lights are amazing tonight! Side note, sudden crazy winds out of seemingly multiple directions and a casual 20 degree temp rise in fifteen minutes! Honest to God snow rollers all over my yard lol! Natures snowballs.
  2. Wow! I have 7.5 inches (at least) and drifts to 15 inches at my house in the Roan highlands. I am just under 3800 feet in elevation but we do well in NW flow. its still absolutely ripping.
  3. Getting absolutely smoked for the past 45 mins. 1.25 inch new and maybe 50-100 yards of visibility if I’m being generous. Temp fell to 19.
  4. 23 currently with moderate snow. 2 inches so far with untreated roads covered. The snow has dramatically picked up in the past fifteen minutes.
  5. The models keep getting better! That upper level low pass looks classic across all guidance. Pretty excited for this one.
  6. Expecting a pretty intense blizzard here and making final preps this weekend. If that upper low takes the euro track, look out! Looks like 50 mph winds, temps in the teens and snow squalls.
  7. 41-38 here. Mount Mitchell has been below freezing for the last few hours and I figure over 5500 in the roan it is as well.
  8. Dude, no offense and I enjoy some of your posts… this is the least surprising take I’ve ever seen on the board, and I’ve been on here or easternwx (or wright weather before that) for over twenty years.
  9. I might try Canaan valley state park. Easier to access and the road is generally in decent shape. Black bear has some decently priced suites that are pretty cool also.
  10. Yeah, 80-90 percent of my snow comes from NW flow lately. If we actually had an average amount of synoptic snow we could really rack up the seasonal total.
  11. Not sure that the magnitude of this MJO pass is set in stone yet. There are many solutions depicting a stronger MJO pass and the models haven’t been exactly locked in on its strength.
  12. Same here man, somehow I’ve been hit twice in the head!
  13. MJO is forecast to make a serious pass in 5/6 by the GFS.
  14. chris21

    Winter 2025-26

    The resolution is too low to depict accurate snowfall totals along the spine of the Appalachians. The Allegheny Front in Tucker County average 150 inches of snow a year while a few miles away Petersburg averages maybe 20-25 now. Impossible to depict that with that resolution.
  15. Cool fall day up in the Roan. 44 for the low, with a high of 61 under overcast skies and breezy se winds. Temp has fallen to 58. Have had to start the wood stove this week. Looks like the pattern will turn cooler at the very least right after mid month. First inch of snow was Oct 14th-15th last year.
  16. 38.1 for the low this morning. Very misty. The temp rose for several hours after midnight, otherwise we would have had our first frost.
  17. 44 here currently with the temp falling fast.
  18. Our lows are pretty cold because I’m in a deep, high valley (3800 feet, surrounded by 5500-6000 foot high mountains). On upslope snow days our temps get very cold also. The flora on my property is pretty similar I’d imagine to your area. A lot of Beech, Yellow Birch, Sugar Maple and Basswood.
  19. Mine is 40/18 in North Carolina. All elevation and location on the windward slopes.
  20. IOD is forecast to be neutral be early December.
  21. Not liking the trends up here in the mountains. Still want to see a few more models runs before I start making any preparations or anything.
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