Cobalt
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Everything posted by Cobalt
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0z Euro is encouraging it seems
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Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member)
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We also saw 8-9 inches on the 15 day mean in December 2017... look how that worked out :p
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Still out there but the GEFS has a whopping 3lps in the location of the GFS :p Although these lps seem to be overshadowed by a cluster of consensus around the great lakes. Seems like a recipe for nothing? Stale airmass, great lakes low. I guess there's time to iron out the details though
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2.5" - 12/16-17. Fun WAA that had 1.5"/hr rates turned sleet/freezing rain. Icebox after the storm. .3" - 1/25 Season Total: 2.8"
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Had a nice period of -SN/SN to close out the storm with that final band that pivoted through. 2.5" final hope you guys in MD get crushed with this band!!
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Oh gosh, I'm terribly sorry to hear that something like that happened. My condolences.
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That's awesome!! Really glad you guys are getting a huge hit out of this, radar looks loaded out there
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2.3" before changeover. 100% sleet now. How well does sleet tend to accumulate around here? :p
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2.25”, over an inch in this past hour. Mix line is 3 miles from me unfortunately :/ .
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1.5" as of 15 minutes ago, still suuuper good rates and fat snowflakes. More than 2 inches of snow would completely surpass expectations. Feeling really 11/15/18 out there.
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0.7" here!! Glad to be on the board. Regardless of changeover, no better time to have snow than before Christmas.
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Excited for the western folks of this forum to cash in big time!! I don't know why people see other people getting big totals as some sort of reason to get angry, for me it's all the more motivation to move out of this urban beltway hellhole when I'm old enough
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Some people are on Tapatalk which doesn't show that information IIRC
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Didn't they fare rather well in the March 2017 storm? This storm feels like it has an uncanny resemblance to that one. In fact our airmass is probably way worse, but of course that's a March storm rather than mid December.
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40 degrees here in McLean at 451' ASL
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To those saying next! Seems.. workable? Temps still super marginal on the means but there's a cluster of lows, just a matter of time until we can parse through the details. PNA spike during this time too, so I'm curious as to how this looks in a few days.
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3k NAM doesn't change anyone west of I-95 over to rain it seems, but it has some horrendous amounts of freezing rain and ice compared to last run.
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Can't tell if I'm seeing things but yeah the initial WAA looks way beefier Through 0z (when DC and immediate NW changes over) vs 18z at that exact time Obviously grasping at straws, and it doesn't matter if that extra snow is washed away from a low that tracks up the bay, but I thought this was somewhat interesting to see so I thought I'd share.
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the Euro was wayyy better with the rates of the WAA there. That's where I-95 and immediate points West get most of the snow there. Wondering if that'll be a prominent trend but that snowfall is more believable than the snow it was giving us on wraparound
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DT's forecast, more useful than the clown maps snowchaser is posting
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For the smart people here, I'm curious, how often do these double barrel type setups happen with nor'easters? Do they verify the way that the models forecast them?
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The high pressure seemed to be more expansive on this run. Surface looked super bad but it'll be interesting to see how these backend snows trend
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Hi yes reason number 47 as to why the 3knam might not be in it's wheelhouse range yet Although it does depict the DC snowhole quite well :p
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Measuring on my roof to get .5 inches of extra elevation based snow >
