Cobalt
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Everything posted by Cobalt
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0z Euro trying to do something with our Jan 3rd costal but 850s are... pretty toasty
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Basically exactly 7 days in the future. That's honestly kind of uncanny
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GFS still has that Jan 3 low that the Euro showed and lost but it's a good bit off the coast. Jan 4 2018 redux anyone?? edit: Ninja'd!
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The ICON had a similar idea with a trailing wave following the cutter but it was all rain. Split the difference and you’ve got a storm! .
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Awesome stuff!! Glad you guys are gonna get a white Christmas
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Believe so, and apparently it was a bit more consistent with last week's event as well. FWIW it's a good bit less cutteriffic in the LR but then again the GFS seems to have been pretty spot on with the Dec 28 and new years cutters so idk.
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Hah, I’m leaving on the 3rd over here. Seems like these sort of storms like to move out a day or so In timing, so perhaps you’ll get your wish ! .
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Haha basically explains my entire time here during that late Dec 2017 pattern that DT kept woofing about. I remember posting all of the ensemble snow means and freaking out about how they were 6"+ 10 days out. In reality? I think I got 0.8" from that pattern. In all honestly I'm not sure how you guys managed to put up with 14 year old me :p but nowadays I reserve my snowfall map postings to just 4 a day way healthier
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DT's first call, FWIW for western peeps
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0z Euro is encouraging it seems
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Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member)
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We also saw 8-9 inches on the 15 day mean in December 2017... look how that worked out :p
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Still out there but the GEFS has a whopping 3lps in the location of the GFS :p Although these lps seem to be overshadowed by a cluster of consensus around the great lakes. Seems like a recipe for nothing? Stale airmass, great lakes low. I guess there's time to iron out the details though
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2.5" - 12/16-17. Fun WAA that had 1.5"/hr rates turned sleet/freezing rain. Icebox after the storm. .3" - 1/25 Season Total: 2.8"
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Had a nice period of -SN/SN to close out the storm with that final band that pivoted through. 2.5" final hope you guys in MD get crushed with this band!!
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Oh gosh, I'm terribly sorry to hear that something like that happened. My condolences.
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That's awesome!! Really glad you guys are getting a huge hit out of this, radar looks loaded out there
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2.3" before changeover. 100% sleet now. How well does sleet tend to accumulate around here? :p
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2.25”, over an inch in this past hour. Mix line is 3 miles from me unfortunately :/ .
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1.5" as of 15 minutes ago, still suuuper good rates and fat snowflakes. More than 2 inches of snow would completely surpass expectations. Feeling really 11/15/18 out there.
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0.7" here!! Glad to be on the board. Regardless of changeover, no better time to have snow than before Christmas.
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Excited for the western folks of this forum to cash in big time!! I don't know why people see other people getting big totals as some sort of reason to get angry, for me it's all the more motivation to move out of this urban beltway hellhole when I'm old enough
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Some people are on Tapatalk which doesn't show that information IIRC
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Didn't they fare rather well in the March 2017 storm? This storm feels like it has an uncanny resemblance to that one. In fact our airmass is probably way worse, but of course that's a March storm rather than mid December.
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40 degrees here in McLean at 451' ASL
