MountainGeek

I think the persistent AK vortex and associated record cold is another interesting indicator of the overall pattern and likely results. Based on typical wavelengths/troughs/ridges, there seems to be a significant association between that and a mild/warm eastern US. I think the most recent year we had a similar persistent record AK cold was 2012-2013. That year didn't go so well for us either.....although NW did get pasted with mashed potatoes in March.

Paging @WxWatcher007....you should be planning to work lots of overtime in the near future..... crankyweatherguy Replying to @ericfisher It died on November 28th, apparently. Will continue the good old "next window for a storm is" song and dance. See if one or two click a little S&E and see what they give. Interior has done just fine "snowfall anomaly" wise. (which is why I hold utter disdain for the metric) crankyweatherguy Retweeted GIF

Perhaps we've been missing a key tellie - when epic failure reaches the ultimate heights and we achieve the fabled +++++++NAO, the sheer weight of the suckage collapses in on itself and becomes a means for us to get snow.

crankyweatherguy‏ @crankywxguy 34m34 minutes ago Lead system hasn't moved much if at all. Our incoming storm is starting to slow in response. The kicker won't. Eye on the lead system and how the storm system behaves in kind in its wake the next 24-30 hours. Refer to Videos for "why" that matters (1 of 2 capture related issues).

Showme to the rescue -- I don't care if you have to fudge the dates and post old snowmaps...anything to pull folks back from full tilt....

I'm more concerned about precip than temps....let's get that initial band as heavy as possible!

NWS seems to have increased totals a bit with the most recent update:

For the weeenies and non-experts out there.......can you please refrain from posting definitive statements re model runs? If you have to ask whether you are one of the experienced posters, the answer is NO. We have plenty of experts who can handle the analysis and mixing in bad analysis just causes confusion.

Instead of getting all butthurt, why not hear what people are telling you and just tone it down a bit on the "certainty" that is coming across in your posts as somewhat arrogant? I'm sure we'd all love to have your thoughts and input, and people will definitely give you the respect you deserve over time if you become a solid contributor. I'm assuming that you aren't actually arrogant, you're just coming across that way at times because you're relatively new to the board and you may not realize how your writing style looks to others. No way you did this for 30+ years and didn't get your ego stomped good at least a few times by the fickle nature of the game. So, again -- we'd love to have your contributions, may I suggest taking an introspective look at how you might be coming across to others and give them a chance to get to know and respect your expertise over time.

Best snow event of the decade! And a really nice treat to tide us over through the upcoming shutout period. No complaints at all, especially when we were expecting a no-go until after Jan 20th anyway. @psuhoffman has been quiet (unless I missed it)......need to know how that inverted trough paid off for you in Jackpotville. Any takers for 6"?

Thanks -- I'm seeing reports of 4" around her area, I want to make sure my WHITE RAIN forecast verifies!

Where's @mappy? Looks like the last hurrah is moving through.

4" right on the nose. All done out here, but it's gorgeous scenery. Love the snows where it sticks to everything and is able to hang on to the branches and even the sides of the trees.

Extrapolating the radar, you still have a decent bit to go -- I'm guessing you'll hit 4" of WHITE RAIN easily.

Yeah snow depth was nowhere near accurate out here, we're about 4" and snow depth was showing half that.

Rocking! Keep the obs coming, it's a good indicator of what's heading my way. Closing in on 3" here, mod SN with large flakes.

I'll say --- snow got so heavy it flipped your house on its side!

I would also think it makes sense to weight the EPS more heavily since the GEFS has already blinked, and EPS seems to be holding steady atm.

A little over 1" here; 32/30 mod SN

Be sure to let @Ji know when you see the back edge....wouldn't want him to miss it in all the heavy snow.

I love how quiet it gets in here when we actually have a legit snow event underway.

Bob's dead on -- once it hits it is hot and heavy. More than makes up for the wait. Closing in on 0.5" now, 32/25

Watch for the white wall approaching --- this one is coming in hard and fast, a lot of fun!

Wow that was impressive -- that's the fastest onset I've seen in a while. Moderate to heavy SN, went from a stray flake or two straight to snow globe. Just like a thunderstorm in the summer where you can see the rain line coming and watch it hit you in the face. 32/25

First flakes -- and I can see the main show coming in like a wall from the SW