MountainGeek
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Everything posted by MountainGeek
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January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
MountainGeek replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
What's storm mode? Falling iguana warning? -
January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
MountainGeek replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Are you offering a Stormtracker PBP to get us back on track? -
January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
MountainGeek replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
MountainGeek replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
You must be new here? -
The “is it ever going to snow again” discussion.
MountainGeek replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
1961-1969: Both decades had 63 storms within the search criteria - 750 miles of ATL (arbitrary, but picked to try to filter storms that didn't significantly impact GOM or W ATL ). The 1960s seem to have a higher number of high-intensity storms in GOM, whereas 1950s have more in the W ATL/eastern seaboard. Of course, this could all be backwards and hurricane intensity is just another effect of other pattern drivers rather than cause..... -
The “is it ever going to snow again” discussion.
MountainGeek replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wondering if ACE might obscure the distinctions of hurricane track/location. 12 CAT5's grazing Bermuda wouldn't have the same impact they would in the GOM. 1951-1959: -
The “is it ever going to snow again” discussion.
MountainGeek replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
@psuhoffman - have you ever looked into potential correlation between ACE (especially in GOM and eastern seaboard), # of CONUS landfalling hurricanes, and the following winters? Obviously there's a ton of factors all mixed in that create a given winter "state", but just curious if we have a very mild hurricane season, how much heat energy does NOT get dissipated in the summer/fall and then rolls into GOM/Western ATL SSTs, tending to feed SER and WAR. Overall ACE could be misleading as well, since I'd think a GOM hurricane would have a lot more effect than something hitting Bermuda and hooking back east. -
January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
MountainGeek replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
TRANSLATION for @Solution Man: Chuck believes that subsurface ENSO temps are more correlated to the real-time N. Pacific pattern vs surface temps (which tend to lag). So when subsurface is on fire (Jan 18), the real time response would be an El Nino NPAC result. Hence the super-nino pattern in California. -
Hang on a few more minutes -- it's ripping SN+ here.
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NAM sez "RGEM hold my beer".....
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Start the thread -- you already have the title above.
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Mashed Potatoes or bust! I see NAM has the snow hole over me, @psuhoffman, and @WinterWxLuvr....should be good to go!
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Maybe -- still pounding same size flakes here as well. Closing in on 2" at 32F.
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52/48 -- but the wind has REALLY picked up, gusting to 30-40mph now. Will be interesting to see how fast the cold air actually manages to roll through.
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Too bad it's not snow -- would be fun to "share" a storm with you being in TX.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
MountainGeek replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dude -- literally the moment you step out.....- 4,130 replies
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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
MountainGeek replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Little over 2" here still light snow but basically it's done. Nothing worse than a windy very cold day with frozen mud to look at. Going to look awesome tomorrow with the cold and wind.... so I'm calling it a win! 28/25 -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
MountainGeek replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
1" new snow on top of existing glacier ice pack; mod/light snow Hoping we can get to 2-3" before coastal shuts us down.... 31/31 -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
MountainGeek replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Moderate snow; flakes back to small sized tho. Areas where existing glacier was melting are now caving and everything becoming completely white again. 32/30 -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
MountainGeek replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Moderate snow now with decent flake size -- snowcover mostly held so snow on snow + Friday HH = win! 33/29 -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
MountainGeek replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes -- I'm definitely not trying to deb on our chances..would love to see us do well on this one. The linked site had somewhat of a NC/VA focus (so I'm guessing they got nothing down there from that storm).... but it had decent graphics showing the various synoptic setups since apparently Miller is the word of the day... -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
MountainGeek replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
For those who want to learn more about Miller setups (and yes, there are hybrids/variants): https://glenallenweather.com/alink/18snow/stormtypes.htm Miller A type snowstorm This type of snowstorm has a low which originates in the Gulf; it intensifies and races up the east coast. EX: Superstorm 1993, Blizzard of 1996. These tend to be more widespread in area BUT can be less favorable for historic snows in New England. However, they can clobber portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Miller B type snowstorm This type snowstorm has a primary low over the Appalachians while a new, secondary, and more powerful low spins up along the Gulf Stream waters off the coast of NC. It intensifies and depending on its track can clobber areas of inland or coastal New England. These are less widespread in terms of area and usually miss the Mid-Atlantic. EX: Blizzard of 2005.