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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    The chase for modeled cold is looking good though:
  2. Paleocene
    Agreed wholeheartedly; we have enormous expectations for models in winter. We aren't sitting here in May and June sweating the position of a low +/- 100 miles off Ocean City MD. Or whether it's going to be 65 and rain or 61 and rain. Or whether we're getting 0.5" of liquid or 0.8" of liquid. Unfortunately for us, we sit in the error range a lot of the time in these setups.
  3. Paleocene
    I work from home most of the time so the 2.5 hour early Moco dismissal is NBD... but feeling for those elementary parents who get notice of a dismissal at 120pm. They just let us know about 30 minutes ago!
  4. Paleocene
    I find my self on team PSU suspecting the elephant in the room. However, I cling to memories of 1997-2001 being a pretty bad (albeit shorter) stretch up in Harrisburg where I grew up. I think '00 might have had a winter saver or two. Anyone have a good site that gives you annual snowfall totals by airport?
  5. Paleocene
    At least it's imaginary cold after our 3rd rainstorm in a row:
  6. Paleocene
    Yeah, 00z had the transfer to the coast happen much further south.
  7. Paleocene
    Monster block traps the big low that runs through the lakes next weekend.... it goes over toronto then retrogrades back to SW of the hudson bay
  8. Paleocene
    Latest NAM suggests an inch+ for most of the area.
  9. Paleocene
    Reeeeeee!
  10. Paleocene
    Truckloads of medium rare rain are being dumped onto my roof in silver spring
  11. Paleocene
    Steady, grass watering rain here inside the beltway in Silver Spring.
  12. Paleocene
    wishcasting this trend to continue
  13. Paleocene
    Sleeting in 20910 silver spring. Frozen precip win! Here in the equivalent climate to savannah ga
  14. Paleocene
    Nothing in silver spring
  15. Paleocene
    I promised my wife (from Massachusetts, she misses snow) we could walk around in the snow before it flips to rain. Wishcasting for the win
  16. Paleocene
    Currently 12 degrees in downtown silver spring, expecting heavy snow and 6-12" accumulations
  17. Paleocene
    Still potential for front end snow/ice before the flip next tuesday morning (much better N&W)
  18. Paleocene
    Still potential for some sleety/flakey start in the immediate metro area tomorrow morning, fingers crossed for a jebwalk.
  19. Paleocene
    Hey, at least the ground outside is frozen right now? Now that we can't get frozen precip to accumulate any more, I take the small wins. The ground is hard, and cold. Winter? Right?? RIGHT???? Also, as lame as the LR op GFS looks, methinks one shouldn't trust it.
  20. Paleocene
    I'm gonna turn on my hose to add some cold water to sligo creek; should cool off the anacostia for you to get some river effect snow
  21. Paleocene
    GFS holds on possibility of a front end thump of snow for the monster rainstorm coming next tuesday. NW of the metropolitan fringe (areas getting snow saturday) should do best. But we all flip to heavy rain.
  22. Paleocene
    GFS has this thing bombing out off long island and nuking SNE... lucky jerks
  23. Paleocene
    After the thump, this gives me concerns:
  24. Paleocene
    GFS consistent with NAM with snow at first, but thermals are close at the surface for DC metro area.
  25. Paleocene
    I am choosing to believe that this panel on the 3k nam is true. it holds for a few hours but 850s are warming (winds out of the south at that level) verbatim on the NAM 3k, north of I-70 could hold as snow most of the afternoon? someone please correct me if I'm wrong
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