I realize that I have a VERY amateur understanding of all this, but I remember that the past couple of years, the EPS has struggled with winter forecasts. Some Mets were thinking that the raging PAC jet was causing problems for the models, especially the EURO. I don’t remember if the GFS was having the same problems, but I’m wondering if that is the case again.??
Secondly, I’ve been glancing at the New England forum for a friend who is traveling to VT to ski later in January and a couple of people noted that models are not going to get a handle on things until the SSW takes place. I know people have said this here as well, but It was a bit encouraging that others across the East Coast are having a hard time being patient. Someone noted that everyone from DC to the North should get plenty of snow after the changes take place later in January. It has felt like the “Panic Room” in here the past week or so.