snowmagnet

True, but we also had about 5 -6 consecutive years of really good winters (minus ‘12-‘13’) from 2010-2016. So the past few years have felt out of the norm after that stretch. I don’t remember a worse winter than this one. I’m in Fairfax where we have seen about 2” total this year.

I typically love February for its chances of snow, but I feel like the calendar has been mocking this month. I can’t wait to turn the page. If it isn’t going to snow in March, bring on the warmth.

This is all we have. It’s better than watching snow in NC.

I have felt this way too. Tracking snow, even fantasy snow, usually keeps me busy through February. Knowing there is nothing in sight for weeks has been awful.

I believe that NC, SC, Central and Southern VA, Ocean City, and SE VA have all had more snow than DC in the past few years. It’s truly depressing.

How was it any worse than the rest of any of the days in January and February? At least nothing took away 2 feet of digital snow today!

I’m resigning myself to the fact that the PV is comfortable in the Arctic until something unleashes it. It’s so frustrating to have all of this rain all week and then cold and dry by Friday. I’d rather have cold and dry than warm and wet. Maybe we can get a surprise snow like the South had last week.

It’s snowing in Georgia today. So maybe there is hope for us.

I believe it was the ‘13-‘14 year that started the hype of the Polar Vortex. It became part of everyday vocabulary that winter because it split and caused so much cold air and basically acted as a substitute for a -NAO. It’s not budging from the Arctic, so that’s not helpful.

I’m always optimistic that we will win one of these and glad you are still posting about the possibilities, but it feels like we are always so close lately. 35 and rain is just a few degrees off of a blockbuster. This week’s huge rain while Texas snowed was really bad. It’s been a truly frustrating winter (for a few years!). Regardless, thank you for continuing to highlight the ways we might be able to score.

The Euro and/or GFS has had something for the VD/PD weekend on and off for at least 2 weeks. I’m not holding my breath this time, but maybe one of these long term storms will actually pay off.

Did the overnight EPS hold our glimmer of hope around Feb 20th?

Thank you! I need something hopeful to get me through the month. It is freaking cold outside. I’m so sick of 35 and rain. It’s hard to believe we can’t manage something frozen!

Isn’t the 18z Euro low resolution? I would think that would affect its validity. I thought the 12z and 0z were really the most important players here.

OMG. PD2 was in 2003!!! I remember it well because I was pregnant and sick most of that week. It sucked, but it helped that FCPS closed all week and I saved up for maternity leave! That 16 1/2 year old baby is getting her license this week!

You can’t show that here. Completely inappropriate!

Geez. All but 2 have more than 2 inches IMBY. I would love for some of this to fall on a weekday!

That is quite a harsh cut off for frozen. 0.5” in Fairfax/Loudoun and over 10” just an hour to the NW or NE?

I find it hard to trust the new GFS after last winter when it was the FV3.

I remember, during one or both of those years, we didn’t have good luck with a - NAO, but got lucky with a 50/50 or PV acting as a -NAO. I don’t remember the details, but it was a fun couple of months both years. I followed DT at the time and learned a lot about the teleconnections. I didn’t find this forum until later in 2015. If we can have something along those lines, we should be pretty happy around here. It’s at least, very encouraging. Thank you (and others on here) for all of your long range analysis. It is really appreciated by those of us who don’t know how to read these maps.

I've been reading Judah Cohen's twitter feed and he seems to be relying on the GFS and predicting the end of winter if it's correct. Hopefully the EURO knows what's up.

Last winter completely sucked. Go back and look at your comments last year. I would suggest that this winter is much better considering it is not even January 1st and there is always hope. Even if we punt the next 2 weeks, there is still time for things to change. The long-term modeling has proven to be awful lately, so there is still time for things to turn around. I am always the optimist. Sorry for the bit of banter.

So the NWS canceled the WSW and changed it to an Advisory continuing 1-2 more inches until 5 am. I thought that was odd.

Shocking! I don’t think they have ever measured more than the western burbs. We had 30” in January ‘16 and they measured 17”.