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Scarlet Pimpernel

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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel

  1. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Pretty sure at some point this will happen across the metro areas, with an area-wide 2-4" more or less expected. But interesting the watch actually extended east and south, even into northern MoCo and HoCo
  2. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Not a big fan of the "dual maximum" look, but whatever...that's yet to be resolved. I'm just glad to have a decent advisory-level event in the offing, and it now looks like it should stick around for a day and not torch on Saturday now.
  3. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Poor groundhog, always taking the heat! What about the Woolly Bears? They shoulder some of the blame!!
  4. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Got the same where I'm at in the Bethesda area from that St. Pat's 2014 storm! What an awesome event, and it was below freezing for like a day after. March 2014 itself was an amazing month for snow in this region!
  5. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Purple clouds and shrooms!
  6. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Semi off-topic, but is TT still down? It's been out apparently most of the afternoon.
  7. Scarlet Pimpernel
    You'll need digital blue pills for that...
  8. Scarlet Pimpernel
    This just has @ravensrule written all over it! Or my mind has been twisted. Probably both!
  9. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Ahhh, finally found your reply! I sent a quick note in the medium range thread, but thanks much for this explanation, makes sense. And again, apologies @WxUSAF if a couple of my comments got off-track from the normal medium-range discussion. ETA: At this point, this winter, I'm just hoping for a decent storm that's fun, whether it happens toward the end of this month or in March. Don't much care. I am in no way "HECS hunting" by now, but hell, a solid MECS kind of event that we can all follow for a week would be great. I don't think that's out of the question still before we're done.
  10. Scarlet Pimpernel
    PSU...somehow, I managed to see your reply just in time and I much appreciate it, thank you! What you said makes sense and I agree. I tried to "react" to that with a "like" but I guess it got moved so my reaction failed, LOL!! Anyhow, not sure what thread some of these posts ended up in. @WxUSAF, my apologies if I got too much into some off-topic elements, requiring some of those to be moved.
  11. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Hey @Maestrobjwa, thanks for sharing this!! I had heard it was the 100th anniversary of that amazing piece! I had the opportunity to see this performed live many years ago by the Atlanta Symphony (when I lived there)...and it was played on a midnight-blue piano (can't remember who did the honors in that performance!).
  12. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Right. And of course at the same time I wouldn't mind seeing a solution kind of like what the GFS showed the other week for like 4 straight cycles. Obviously that's the upside, but it wasn't a big, phased solution then either as far as I can recall. Just glad to see something decent coming back for this event.
  13. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Me either...I don't speak Shroomchaser-ese!
  14. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Serious question for you, or for anyone else who has been more following the longer range outlooks (extended ensembles, weeklies, that sort if thing). Obviously those longer range 500 mb plots are smoothed, etc., and are intended to give you an overall view of the flow and pattern. That said, they consistently ALL showed a far different view of how the last half of February into the first half of March than what we now see on both ops and ensembles. Like day after day after day. And it's not like previous years where it got kicked later and later...the "epic" pattern actually moved up in time. And then...WTF just happened in the last week or so? I'm not trying to be flippant in any regard. I'm just curious why those apparently were so far off. I know we see more "detail" as the time range shortens, but the blocking, cold air source, etc., seems to have all but gone poof. Also, while I of course believe in "the elephant in the room" (can't say CC...oops, I just did!), it's not like those longer range ensembles wouldn't be influenced by that or "see" it, so to speak. So the fact that they seem to have flipped cannot really be attributed to that factor. It would be one thing if for a week or so the longer range ensembles looked great and then looked like shit the blinds, but that's not what happened. Anyhow, just wondering...
  15. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Meh...we already hit 80 in late January. 60s will be chilly.
  16. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Looks like your personal version of the @Scraff SBFI is on the increase!
  17. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I've got family in the Cleveland area and planning to go up there (not sure if I'll drive or fly yet). We can observe it right from their deck easily enough and avoid crazy crowds downtown or whatever. Looking at getting one of those solar lens filters for my camera to get some shots, and those eclipse glasses. Only thing is...northeast Ohio in early April...typically can be gray/rainy. But we'll see. Seems we could easily enough drive elsewhere if it's clear somewhere else nearby. It's also the Guardians' home opener, of all things, and they'll be playing right when the eclipse will occur. Closest I ever saw an eclipse at totality was in 1994, there was an annular eclipse that was at its max around Toledo, OH, I was in Columbus at the time and it was about 80% coverage there (as I recall)...it did get pretty dim. It was cool how any sun or light that came through leaves left crescent-shaped shadows on the ground. I was here in the DC area for the big 2017 eclipse but it wasn't as much as the annular one, though still cool!
  18. Scarlet Pimpernel
    It appears our epic pattern has run into a few elephants along the way!
  19. Scarlet Pimpernel
    ...Or, phase the living S out of that and give us March 1993 part deux! LOL!!
  20. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Not sure of 2016, but I honestly don't recall at 10 days if it looked rainy (or various rainy solutions). I just remember a week out everything locked in to a major winter event. Now, Feb. 5-6, 2010...I've heard from others (@psuhoffman maybe?) that it was a bit dubious farther out in time once it got on the radar of interest.
  21. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Wasn't that NS energy originally what suppressed the hell out of the potential PD event in the first place? And now it's farther west.
  22. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Yeah saw that. I mentioned above that energy (or PV) north of the Lakes maybe looking like it screws us being farther west...but does it almost seem that a phase is in the works (which may or may not be good in the end either for us)?
  23. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Medium/long range thread turns into the Panic Room! @WxWatcher007 Reaper must be face-palming even in retirement, wondering how his legacy turned into that!
  24. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I await the PSU drought-buster storm! But semi-seriously, that energy north of the Lakes being held farther back doesn't do us much favors for the mid-level thermals. Unless somehow, we get some kind of phase in later runs?
  25. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Hmmmmm....weenieness leads to anger at 240-h ops GFS runs, anger leads to hate, and hate leads to the Dark Side! Only at the ensembles and weeklies should you look at this time, as a true Jedi does!
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