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Scarlet Pimpernel

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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel

  1. Not sure of 2016, but I honestly don't recall at 10 days if it looked rainy (or various rainy solutions). I just remember a week out everything locked in to a major winter event. Now, Feb. 5-6, 2010...I've heard from others (@psuhoffman maybe?) that it was a bit dubious farther out in time once it got on the radar of interest.
  2. Yeah saw that. I mentioned above that energy (or PV) north of the Lakes maybe looking like it screws us being farther west...but does it almost seem that a phase is in the works (which may or may not be good in the end either for us)?
  3. Medium/long range thread turns into the Panic Room! @WxWatcher007 Reaper must be face-palming even in retirement, wondering how his legacy turned into that!
  4. I await the PSU drought-buster storm! But semi-seriously, that energy north of the Lakes being held farther back doesn't do us much favors for the mid-level thermals. Unless somehow, we get some kind of phase in later runs?
  5. Hmmmmm....weenieness leads to anger at 240-h ops GFS runs, anger leads to hate, and hate leads to the Dark Side! Only at the ensembles and weeklies should you look at this time, as a true Jedi does!
  6. Very loose interpretation of the word! Perhaps that can be edited to have him saying "...prepared to go down like true weenies!"
  7. We need our version of General Patton to whip these soldiers into shape! Or General McAuliffe, saying "NUTS!" to the Germans asking him to surrender at Bastogne.
  8. The snow did not fall. The models had nothing good to say. So we sat in the house All that cold, cold, wet Presidents' Day. I sat there with a @psuhoffman tome, We sat there, us two. And I said, "how I wish There was something we could do!" Too warm at 850. And surface temps did not fall. So we sat in the house. We did nothing at all. So all we could do was take the blinds, and Shit! Shit! Shit! Shit! And we did not like it. Not one little bit. And then a shovel went BUMP! How that bump made us jump! We looked! Then we saw him step in on the mat! We looked! And we saw him! The @Jebman in the hat! And he said to us, "Why do you shit the blinds like that?" I know it is wet And it's half through Feb-rary. But fear not, we'll get our snow So don't commit hari-kari!"
  9. I'd let others more knowledgeable chime in, but that was just my back-of-the-envelope thought and assessment. And yeah, it's looking at the ops GFS at 240 hours. I wouldn't put a huge amount of stock in that...being an ops run at that time range, plus, well, the GFS. But taken in isolation, I don't care for that flow as it's shown.
  10. OK, I'm not @psuhoffman and don't play him on TV...and yeah my previous comment was meant as snarky humor. But in all seriousness, just giving a cursory glance at the 500-mb flow around that time, it seems to me that the GFS just lifts everything more. The PV seems to get shunted north or elongated a bit, with little confluent flow; rather than forming a 50/50 type low it sits way up there in northeast Canada. We end up with flow coming right off the Pacific. At least according to the GFS ops. Here's one snapshot:
  11. That wave around the 24th has been one that many here have honed in on as the "better" opportunity, I believe? Though don't rule out something just before that either (PD or just after).
  12. And the day after Presidents' Day, he rested!?!? Yeah, I swear, if the storm cannot happen on that day so we can officially declare it PD3, then screw it, we shouldn't get a storm at all and let's not get any other snow the rest of this winter!!! (This is extreme sarcasm, by the way!!)
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