BlunderStorm

Since 1 the snow has been falling up this way. Closing in on 3 inches thus far! At this rate it will be the biggest winter event so far for the season.

Alternate Version of my reaction to the 12-24-20 0z Euro Kuchera map.

Non-Rushed Dandridge +3KM Version.

I think we're all used to getting shafted at this point which makes the potential for a white Christmas all the more alluring yet bothering. In my case, I can only help but feel snubbed the past few years especially with my local climate. Last having recorded a single day snowfall above 3" in March of 2018. Of course, I don't mean to whine and remain optimistic for any potential winter events ahead. Echoing the sentiments of others I am glad we aren't dealing with what we had last year.

Dear Santa...

About 15 minutes ago flakes started to mix in. Now all snow. Nice to see but I can only dream of what would have been had it been 10 degrees colder.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED National Weather Service Morristown TN 1249 AM EST Mon Dec 14 2020 .UPDATE... FOR 06Z AVIATION. && .DISCUSSION... Not a whole lot of change to the forecast this evening. Biggest change was to slightly delay onset of precip across the central east TN Valley and northeast TN by a few hours. Looking at the latest data, still a very difficult forecast in terms of snow potential across the northern Cumberland Plateau and southwest VA. I think the biggest bust potential is across Wise County and Russel County VA, our most northern counties in our CWA. By bust I mean our current snow totals could be too low. However, I just don`t feel confident enough to raise the current totals that are in place. To be honest, we probably won`t have a good grasp on snow totals until we actually see when the changeover occurs. With this event changeover-time is everything. A changeover from rain to snow that occurs just an hour or two earlier could raise snow totals by a few inches and vice versa if changeover is later than expected. The current SPS and snow totals mentioned within still look reasonable so will let it ride for now. Will be closely watching how this event unfolds through the night. SR

Down to 41. Since the arrival of the rain the temperatures have proceeded to drop steadily at a degree an hour. At this rate however the sun will stagnate the drop and the system will have already mostly concluded. Still, it is movement in the right direction and with any luck the drop in temperature will accelerate. On it's own evaporative cooling may give me another degree. Wetbulb is just under 40 with 94% humidity. All the more puzzling is the wind direction from the southwest from deeper in the valley not keeping the temperature at the very least stable. Furthermore if clouds insulate then why were temperatures stable instead of dropping in the first few hours of the night while the sky was still partially uncovered? Me no understand heat dissipation.

Alright, here we go. Snow? IMBY? Will see, Currently 43 and a long way to drop.

Lacking extensive knowledge of the effects of SSTs in different parts of the oceans and how they affect our weather patterns is a part of the reason you see little traffic in this thread. I can easily give observations, dish out banter and fantasy storms, and even give a rudimentary opinion as to what to expect a few weeks in advance, but beyond that I feel I cannot create a coherent post of value in this thread so I sit in the background instead attempting to learn. In other words I am aware of my own ignorance about the topic so I restrain myself and when I do make a post outside of banter or observations I try my best.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/ I don't believe this site has been shared on this thread. It's especially useful for it's snow&ice cover map as an alternative to https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/snow-cover/ as well as having many other uses such as satellite imagery, NWS radar sites, and surface observations. You can thank Jax for finding it.

I had just been in Johnson City as the storms hit around dusk when about 30 minutes into one of the storms it began to hail. Luckily (pun intended) the hail was small and no damage was done to any cars or property at least from what I saw. I would say the hail was roughly a centimeter or a little more in diameter and it lasted around 5 minutes. Once the rain died down a little I came outside it looked like it had snowed in the grass. I thought the novelty of seeing significant snow and hail within a few days was pretty amusing truly March at its finest. Unfortunately I did not have a camera on me at the time so I didn't capture anything. It's also worth mentioning I saw some pretty spectacular streaks of lightning too.

Still plenty of action left for Wilmington. At least you guys have a storm to follow it is pretty frustrating here in the Tennessee Valley with plenty of activity in the ohio valley and southeast. So far annual snowfall has thrown climate out of the window. Heaven forbid more than an inch of snow falls here. Still it does put a smile on my face when places like Tallahassee, Valdosta, and Savannah see snow. Even if it means sub-zero temps for me.

My love and interest in weather has always existed in me. Being a teenager my interest was only truly brought to the forefront less than three years ago during the February 2015 North American Cold Wave. To be exact it was the President's Day Snowstorm of 2015. I remember Sunday, February 15, vividly with anticipation as winter storm "Octavia" termed by the weather channel was on the march east. The snow on radar at one point spanned from Denver, Colorado to Roanoke, Virginia. That night and the next morning I binge watched the weather channel. During that night in fact as I was browsing I happened upon a forum called American Weather. The storm arrived Monday and the school had closed in advance of the storm due to President's Day. Around 10:30 A.M. the flakes started falling and they did not stop until late in the night. On Tuesday I awoke to a winter wonderland with just over a foot of snow on the ground. School remained closed for the rest of the month and multiple winter storms accompanied by arctic cold would follow in it's wake leaving a snow pack on the ground well into March. From there each year onward my interest in weather increased. Surprisingly I would remain a lurker on this site until this year.

Would this work? http://compressimage.toolur.com/

You and I both Tellico! I have wanted to punt this system for the past 3 days but I'm always on the edge of being in this...Cmon, NW trend!

I'm holding you up to that. Always that 1% chance.