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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. WarmNose
    3k actually looked like a significant improvement..
  2. WarmNose
    At least it’s not an analfronal cutter yet. We could honestly use the rain. Need the crappy beds as far up on the bank as we can get them. Beetlespins aren’t as effective in deep water
  3. WarmNose
    No it doesn’t..but it jumped a couple hundred miles south with the ULL at 12z..it’s moving towards other guidance 00z 12z
  4. WarmNose
    Agreed, but you have to agree it’s difficult to get snow when a trough sets up in the west for the entirety of winter..every winter
  5. WarmNose
    Ducks on the pond! CJ going with a mountain r/s mix on Saturday/Sunday.. even with models being a disaster for the mountains today..this one ain’t over..You have to smell the rain down in the valley before you accumulate on top of the mountain
  6. WarmNose
    Might be time to put all of our eggs in that trailing ULL basket..Need that flow out of the NW after the rain
  7. WarmNose
    Ukie ticked east with precip..we don’t want to lose it too far east yet bc the precip shield will usually expand towards verification..but ughh
  8. WarmNose
    Over/Under 36 hours before it’s a rainy apps rubber?
  9. WarmNose
    GFS has been all over the place..I would put zero stock in the American model at this point in the game. Going to be reaaaalllly close on this one. Everything still on the table
  10. WarmNose
    00z Ukie for this weekend
  11. WarmNose
    Tough mountain forecast this weekend. I booked a place on Sugar but I’m not paying $400 for the weekend to ski in a rain snow mix. I feel pretty good about it but Ray is still on the fence so that gives me cause for concern. Do you think we’ll know what we’re looking at for areas above 4K feet by Wednesday evening? Thanks
  12. WarmNose
    I don’t see a lot of upper air pattern maps posted in here. Probably because you guys are too busy chasing actual snowstorms. It seems us SE guys only chase patterns supporting snow and not the actual snow itself. Anyways, here’s a pattern map for you guys to mull over. Us southeastern guys like to call it “Spring”.
  13. WarmNose
  14. WarmNose
    It comes with the territory when you’ve got a juiced up STJ. Rain, and lots of it.
  15. WarmNose
    Don’t show @mackerel_sky
  16. WarmNose
    Basically, just disregard
  17. WarmNose
    Couple more tics north from the euro and it’ll be seasonal and wet next week as opposed to seasonal and dry! Exciting model runs ahead
  18. WarmNose
    Maybe if we could shift that big low in the Northeast NE another couple hundred miles it could help funnel colder air in and push that HP down out of SE Canada into NY state..I know, It’s a reach
  19. WarmNose
    Unreal. Good for them
  20. WarmNose
    12z Euro showed a smidge if onset frozen up around Buncombe, Haywood, Yancey, McDowell counties..other than that, not much. Subject to change
  21. WarmNose
    Looking a bit better this morning
  22. WarmNose
    Spring is basically here so this madness should come to a halt anytime now
  23. WarmNose
    Rule of thumb: Go with the warmest model
  24. WarmNose
    Sure beats a shutout winter..maybe
  25. WarmNose
    Coastals usually tick back east in the last 48 hours. It will be crucial to get those bigger totals on land before the inevitable eastward jog
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