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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. WarmNose
    February will be another excuse. On to 2021. Solar minimum is looking ripe! Brazilian yearlies just ran and your going to love the projections!
  2. WarmNose
    Oof. And it’s just getting started
  3. WarmNose
    Yowzer! The return of the Arctic. What a vortex this is forecasted to be
  4. WarmNose
    The arctic is going to be healthy come early spring. This vortex is going to be nearly impossible to dislodge for some time. It’s hard to build heights where we need them with that anonymously strong vortex building at the pole. A -NAO will pop in early spring but by then it will be too late.
  5. WarmNose
    Rain. And lots of it
  6. WarmNose
    Bigly cold bottled at the pole. Thats something models can agree on. Where does it go from there? That’s the million dollar question. One had to hope
  7. WarmNose
    Curious to see where this leads. Looks like a major arctic ice addition is in the cards for the end of the year. Healthy PV
  8. WarmNose
    I’m just glad the server works here
  9. WarmNose
    I think my rebuttal to that argument, just for arguments sake, is that our terrible last two winters have been salvaged by an early December miracle and that miracle didn’t happen for a 3rd straight year. Did we miss our opportunity? If we can’t manage a winter storm inside a winter month this year, like we couldn’t the last 2 years, then we get blanked. There’s reason for pessimism but deep down you have to think we can’t suck forever, right?
  10. WarmNose
    The last several runs of the GEFS/EPS are a total dumpster fire in the medium and extended. I believe it gets worse before it gets better
  11. WarmNose
    Beech mountain webcam looks like zero visibility
  12. WarmNose
    Just looking at slope cams, it looks like Beech and Sugar are running those snow guns full throttle. Should be a great head start on the ski season
  13. WarmNose
    I’d imagine this ends up pretty close to reality
  14. WarmNose
    Pleasant fall breeze tonight. Shouldn’t be long before those southwesterly’s roll in for the duration of winter..
  15. WarmNose
    Light snow was reported here this morning. I woke up at 6am and saw the heavy precip setting up on a line from Greenwood to Rock Hill so I went back to sleep. Next
  16. WarmNose
    It’s hilarious the snow goobers evacuate the thread for the main winter months but are back in April for one last rug pull
  17. WarmNose
    Yeah as long as you put a little blue dot over Seattle
  18. WarmNose
    Cape Cod is 100% cold rain this run. Ouch. Man I wouldn’t want to be on the fringe of this thing. The north trend has been something to behold this year
  19. WarmNose
    Snow means don’t verify but I bet rain means do
  20. WarmNose
    Not a snowball’s chance in hell. Wish I could add more. SER will win out. No way the cold push even makes it to Alabama imo
  21. WarmNose
    Hard to believe anything the GEFS does good in the long range (I.e Snowfall Maps) simply because it’s so block happy and it never materializes
  22. WarmNose
    Worst winter ever. I’ve seen some bad ones, but this takes the cake. Its hot today even by spring standards. We suck at snow. It will never snow again. The sky is falling. Magnetic north is shifting the wrong direction. We might as well live in South Florida. Winter is gone and never coming back
  23. WarmNose
    What if the FV3 beats the odds and ends up right with a CAD storm only to have other guidance converge with only a couple days left before IceMageddon? Looks like Canadian Ensembles as well as GEFS increased on their Ice potential at 12z..been a boring winter. At least this is fun again for another 4-5 hours
  24. WarmNose
    FV3 brought the boom yet again. It’s mostly, if not all, ZR/IP for NC/SC but here’s just an idea of the wedge strength
  25. WarmNose
    Need a solid ice pack with these strong transient highs. It’s the tablesetter for the Thursday storm..
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